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EUR/USD Analysis: China Retaliates, Dollar Down

EUR/USD challenging a four-week high after China's retaliatory measures. Bulls may push it to 1.1320.
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FXStreet is the leading independent portal dedicated to the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market and was founded in 2000. The website offers a wide range of tools and resources: 24/5 currency news, real-time economic calendar, advanced rates and charts, educational webinars, analysis reports, forecasts, Learning Center, newsletters, industry services, FX customizable studies… As its distinctive trademark, the portal has always been proud of its unyielding compromise to provide neutral and unbiased information and to enable its users to take better and more confident decisions. FXStreet has managed to gain the collaboration of the entire Forex industry, from individual professionals and small companies right up to Forex Brokers and Investment Banks. FXStreet covers the FX Market 24/5: an expert team of journalists, traders and economists picture what the market is doing and what is happening as it happens. Besides the main website in English, the portal is available in 16 other languages (English, Japanese, Simplified Chinese, Traditional Chinese, Spanish, Russian, Arabic, Turkish, Indonesian, Portuguese, German, French, Italian, Hungarian and Vietnamese, Korean and Catalan). FXStreet was short listed as “Best e-FX initiative of the year (vendor)” for the FX Week e-FX Awards 2010.

EUR/USD Current price: 1.1260

  • China announced a series of measures to counter US latest round of tariffs.
  • EUR/USD challenging a four-week high, bulls may push it to 1.1320.

The EUR/USD pair was trading uneventfully around 1.1230 until China finally announced its countermeasures against the latest US levies. The news sent equities sharply down worldwide, with the greenback under pressure against most major rivals except for commodity-linked currencies. According to different reports, China will now set tariffs from 5% to 25% on a total of $60 billion worth of US goods. Additionally, the country is studying other measures, which include halting purchases of US agricultural products and energy, reducing Boeing orders and restricting US service trade with China.

The EUR/USD pair jumped to the 1.1260 price zone where it stays ahead of the US session. The US macroeconomic calendar includes a couple of Fed’s speakers today, although it seems unlikely that those could overshadow concerns related to the trade war.

The pair is trading a couple of pips below 1.1264, the highest for the last four weeks, and breaking above the 61.8% retracement of its latest daily slide. In the 4 hours chart, technical indicators entered bullish territory for the first time since April, maintaining their upward slopes, while the price advances further above a bearish 20 SMA, all of which indicates that, while the current rally could continue short-term, the bullish case in the longer term is not yet firm.

Support levels: 1.1220 1.1190 1.1155

Resistance levels: 1.1280 1.1320 1.1350

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