At www.ValuEngine.com we show that the Finance sector 18.4% overvalued with the Banks Midwest industry 9.2% overvalued. All seven in today’s table have complete ValuEngine data and have enough price data to have most value levels, risky levels and pivots.
First Busey Corp. (BUSE) – has been below $10 since the week of April 4, 2009.
Baylake Corp. (BYLK) – traded at $1.55 in February 2009 and tested $10 this month.
First Citizens Banc Corp. (FCZA) – has been below $10 since the week of October 11, 2008.
Farmers National Banc Corp. (FMNB) – has been below $10 since the week of August 4, 2007.
LNB Bancorp Inc. (LNBB) – has been below $10 since the week of October 11, 2008.
Macatawa Bank Corp. (MCBC) – has been below $10 since the week of September 27, 2008.
Old Second Bancorp, Inc. (OSBC) – has been below $10 since the week of January 24, 2009.
Reading the Table
OV / UN Valued – The stocks with a red number are undervalued by this percentage. Those with a black number are overvalued by that percentage according to ValuEngine. The most undervalued stock is OSBC by 53.7%. The most overvalued stock is LNBB by 14.1%.
VE Rating – A “1-Engine” rating is a Strong Sell, a “2-Engine” rating is a Sell, a “3-Engine” rating is a Hold, a “4-Engine” rating is a Buy and a “5-Engine” rating is a Strong Buy. We have three Buy rated stocks (BYLK, MCBC & OSBC) and four Hold rated stocks.
Last 12-Month Return (%) – Stocks with a Red number declined by that percentage over the last twelve months. Stocks with a Black number increased by that percentage over the past twelve months! The biggest gainer over the last twelve months is OSBC up 172.7%. The only loser is BUSE down just 2.3%.
Forecast 1-Year Return – Stocks with a Red number are projected to decline by that percentage over the next twelve months. Stocks with a Black number in the Table are projected to move higher by that percentage over the next twelve months. These stocks are projected to trade up between 2.0% and 8.4% over the next twelve months.
P/E Ratios – The twelve month trailing P/E ratios are between 10.0 and 21.4.
Value Level: is the price at which to enter a GTC Limit Order to buy on weakness. The letters mean; W-Weekly, M-Monthly, Q-Quarterly, S-Semiannual and A- Annual.
Pivot: A level between a value level and risky level that acts as a magnet during the time frame noted.
Risky Level: is the price at which to enter a GTC Limit Order to sell on strength.
Where to Buy and Where to Sell
A “Value Level” is a price at which buyers should add to positions on market price weakness. A “Risky Level” is a price at which sellers should reduce holdings on market price gains. A “Pivot” is a support or resistance (Value Level or Risky Level) that was violated in its time horizon, acting as a magnet during the remainder of that time horizon. These levels are calculated in weekly (W), monthly (M), quarterly (Q), semiannual (S) and annual (A) time horizons, based on the past nine closes in each time horizon. My theory is that the closes over a nine-year period are the summation of all bullish and bearish events for that market or specific stock. These levels are the most important element of my Buy and Trade Strategy.
Buy and Trade Guidelines
Investors should consider entering good until cancelled (GTC) orders to buy weakness to a value level, or to sell strength to a risky level.
