Stocks Rallied After April's Jobs Report

Adam Sarhan |

Last week was a bullish week on Wall Street as investors sent stocks higher after the "data" pretty much took a June rate hike off the table. The Fed believes that the economic weakness was 'transitory' in Q1 2015 which is their way of saying they believe the economy will improve in the second half of the year. April's jobs report was slightly higher than expected which helped support that thesis. History shows us that some of the market's strongest performers occur from big gaps up on earnings and some of the weakest stocks continue falling after gapping down after reporting numbers. That is why we want to separate the strong names from the weak names each earnings season. So far, the big winners from earnings season include: Amazon.com (AMZN), Netflix (NFLX), Hasbro (HAS), Domino’s Pizza (DPZ), Skechers (SKX), Dunkin (Donuts) Brands Group (DNKN), Microsoft Corp (MSFT), O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY), and YUM Brands (YUM), Skywest (SKYW), Web.com (WWWW), Equinix (EQIX), Styngenta (SYT), Nutri System (NTRI), Brink's Co (BCO), Teradyne Inc (TER), Skyworks Solutions (SWKS), GoPro (GPRO), Estee Lauder (EL), Abiomed Inc (ABMD), Golar LNG ($GLNR), Energizer Holdings (ENR), RetailMeNot, Inc (SALE), Herbalife (HLF), BlueBird Bio (BLUE), HubSpot Inc ($HUBS), Alibaba Group (BABA), Qorvo Inc ($QRVO)Visteon Copr (VC), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH),  Activision Blizzard Inc (ATVI), Stamps.com (STMP), Imperva Inc (IMPV), Tableau Systems (DATA), AOL Inc (AOL), Universal Display Corp (OLED), and CyberArk Software (CYBR).



On the downside: Monster Beverage Corp (MNST), Cerner Corp (CERN), Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM), Priceline.com (PCLN), Whole Foods Market (WFM), Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR), Kate Spade ($KATE), Lannett Co (LCI), Nu Skin (NUS), Terra Nitrogen (TNH), Tumi Holdings (TUMI), Noodles & Company (NDLS), Qualys  (QLYS), Groupon Inc (GRPN), News Corporation (NWSA), Vitamin Shoppe Inc, (VSI), Fossil Inc (FOSL), Frontier Communication (FTR), TriNet Group ($TNET), Zulily Inc (ZU), Weight Watchers (WTW), Walter Energy Inc. (WLT), Skullcandy (SKUL) Twitter (TWTR), Yelp (YELP), LinkedIn (LNKD), Constant Contact (CTCT), Accuray (ARAY), Cooper Tire & Rubber (CTB), Abaxis (ABAX), Texas Instruments (TXN), Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD), Baidu Inc. (BIDU), Stratasys (SSYS), Harman (HAR), Nokia (NOK), Travelers (TRV), 3M (MMM), Chipotle (CMG), Pulte Group ($PHM), Biogen Inc (BIIB), Generac Holdings (GNRC), First Solar (FSLR), and American Express (AXP), just to name a few. 

Monday-Wednesday's Action: Stocks Start Off Weak But Close Week Higher

U.S. stocks opened higher on Monday as investors continued to digest the latest round of economic and earnings data. Overseas, Japan's Nikkei and UK's FTSE stock markets were closed for holidays. Economic data was light - U.S. factory orders rose by 2.1% in March, matching estimates. Stocks fell on Tuesday after the latest round of economic data suggested Q1 GDP might actually have been negative. The first reading of Q1 GDP was up 0.2% but the report is subject to a few more revisions before the final number is released. The US dollar fell hard on Tuesdayand Crude Oil topped $60/barrel, hitting a fresh high for the year after The U.S. trade deficit came in at $51.4 billion, topping estimates and was the largest reading since 2008 as imports surged. Imports surged largely because the US dollar has increased sharply in recent months. A separate report showed that April's non-manufacturing ISM jumped to a five-month high, coming in at 57.8, beating estimates for 56.3 and March's reading of 56.5. Overseas, the drama involving the Grexit (Greece exiting the Eurozone) spiked after the Financial Times reported that the International Monetary Fund may cut a funding lifeline to Greece unless its European partners accept more debt writedowns. Finally, the Australian Central Bank cut interest rates for the second time this year to help spur their economy.

Stocks fell hard on Wednesday after Janet Yellen said, "equity valuations are generally quite high." Later in the day,  Atlanta Federal Reserve bank president Dennis Lockhart said he expects economic growth to pick up but needs more evidence, particularly from consumer spending. Before the open, ADP, the country's largest private payrolls company, said private employers added 169k new jobs in April, missing estimates for a gain of 205k. A separate report showed that u nit labor costs for the first quarter jumped by 5% but productivity fell -1.9%, slightly higher than the Street's estimate for -1.8%.

Thursday-Friday’s Action: April Jobs Report Hits The Mark 

Stocks rallied on Thursday after bonds snapped a long losing streak and rallied as rates fell after a big rally. The US dollar rallied as well which sent Crude oil, gold and other commodities lower. Economic data was relatively quiet as investors waited for Friday's jobs report. Weekly jobless claims rose by 3k to a seasonally adjusted 265k, which hovered near a 15-year low. Stocks soared on Friday after the government said U.S. employers added 223k new jobs in April, beating estimates for a 220k while the unemployment rate slid to 5.4% (the lowest since before the financial crisis). This report was in-line with the Fed's view and investors sent stocks higher after the number was released.

Market Outlook: The Central Bank Put Is Alive And Well

Remember, in bull markets surprises happen to the upside. This has been our primary thesis since the end of 2012. We would be remiss not to note that this very strong bull market is aging (celebrated its 6th anniversary in March 2015) and the last two major bull markets ended shortly after their 5th anniversary; 1994-2000 & 2002-Oct 2007). To be clear, the central bank put is very strong and until material damage occurs, the stock market deserves the longer-term bullish benefit of the doubt. As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape. If you want exact entry and exit points in leading stocks, get a professional watchlist with annotated charts, and always know the strongest stocks of the year, consider joining FindLeadingStocks.com.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of equities.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please go to: http://www.equities.com/disclaimer

Companies

Symbol Name Price Change % Volume
HUBS HubSpot Inc. 68.20 0.15 0.22 187,270 Trade
NUS Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. 55.48 1.70 3.16 995,807 Trade
MMM 3M Company 203.53 -1.82 -0.89 1,838,640 Trade
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. 311.24 -6.68 -2.10 1,216,339 Trade
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited American Depositary 167.50 3.58 2.18 31,492,502 Trade
FTR Frontier Communications Corporation 13.56 -0.25 -1.81 2,527,197 Trade
EQIX Equinix Inc. 450.00 -1.55 -0.34 520,694 Trade
TER Teradyne Inc. 33.87 0.13 0.39 1,313,558 Trade
GPRO GoPro Inc. 9.05 -0.27 -2.90 4,398,963 Trade
BIDU Baidu Inc. 220.69 -0.36 -0.16 3,056,086 Trade
YELP Yelp Inc. Class A 41.81 0.38 0.92 1,489,886 Trade
CTCT Constant Contact Inc. n/a n/a n/a 0 Trade
FOSL Fossil Group Inc. 7.49 -0.28 -3.60 3,735,836 Trade
HLF Herbalife Ltd. 61.95 -0.26 -0.42 772,349 Trade
NTRI NutriSystem Inc 54.90 0.65 1.20 365,674 Trade
TRV The Travelers Companies Inc. 127.89 -0.30 -0.23 1,246,905 Trade
SYT Syngenta AG 91.88 -0.08 -0.09 28,467 Trade
TUMI Tumi Holdings Inc. n/a n/a n/a 0 Trade
EL Estee Lauder Companies Inc. (The) 105.92 7.60 7.73 8,925,828 Trade
DPZ Domino\'s Pizza Inc 188.66 0.40 0.21 1,275,769 Trade
KATE Kate Spade & Company n/a n/a n/a 0 Trade
SSYS Stratasys Ltd. 20.95 -0.44 -2.06 637,792 Trade
BLUE bluebird bio Inc. 92.45 -0.80 -0.86 497,130 Trade
ORLY O Reilly Automotive Inc. 197.92 -2.71 -1.35 1,366,523 Trade
PCLN The Priceline Group Inc. 1,810.00 -2.97 -0.16 486,075 Trade
AXP American Express Company 85.38 -0.71 -0.82 4,271,186 Trade
DATA Tableau Software Inc. Class A 69.74 0.42 0.61 485,739 Trade
QRVO Qorvo Inc. 69.67 -1.52 -2.14 1,285,178 Trade
TNET TriNet Group Inc. 35.42 0.08 0.23 202,486 Trade
TWTR Twitter Inc. 15.99 0.12 0.76 7,808,420 Trade
TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated 79.97 -0.18 -0.22 3,626,698 Trade
NDLS Noodles & Company 3.75 0.05 1.35 79,560 Trade
CERN Cerner Corporation 64.25 0.89 1.40 2,249,981 Trade
BWLD Buffalo Wild Wings Inc. 108.70 -1.35 -1.23 345,712 Trade
AMZN Amazon.com Inc. 958.47 -2.10 -0.22 3,284,821 Trade
MNST Monster Beverage Corporation 54.05 0.34 0.63 1,930,337 Trade
SALE RetailMeNot Inc. n/a n/a n/a 0 Trade
LCI Lannett Co Inc 15.65 0.55 3.64 501,586 Trade
SKX Skechers U.S.A. Inc. 26.95 -0.45 -1.64 2,883,019 Trade
ABMD ABIOMED Inc. 152.14 -1.56 -1.02 253,696 Trade
IMPV Imperva Inc. 44.45 0.35 0.79 274,813 Trade
GMCR Keurig Green Mountain Inc n/a n/a n/a 0 Trade
NWSA News Corporation 13.27 0.04 0.30 2,004,745 Trade
DNKN Dunkin\' Brands Group Inc. 52.41 -0.83 -1.56 1,011,069 Trade
YUM Yum! Brands Inc. 75.41 -0.13 -0.17 2,053,563 Trade
STMP Stamps.com Inc. 210.35 1.50 0.72 324,202 Trade
LNKD LinkedIn Corporation Class A n/a n/a n/a 0 Trade
NOK Nokia Corporation Sponsored American Depositary Sh 6.19 -0.06 -0.96 10,104,328 Trade
ABAX ABAXIS Inc. 46.53 -1.21 -2.53 97,766 Trade
TNH Terra Nitrogen Company L.P. 77.42 1.21 1.59 35,236 Trade
CTB Cooper Tire & Rubber Company 33.45 0.15 0.45 551,325 Trade
VSI Vitamin Shoppe Inc 5.90 0.05 0.85 891,529 Trade
ATVI Activision Blizzard Inc 62.01 0.64 1.04 4,415,845 Trade
SKYW SkyWest Inc. 34.50 0.10 0.29 333,970 Trade
NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. 55.78 -0.40 -0.71 1,434,778 Trade
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. 24.44 0.33 1.37 2,346,592 Trade
VC Visteon Corporation 113.39 0.74 0.66 124,192 Trade
WTW Weight Watchers International Inc 47.43 1.19 2.57 1,376,657 Trade
SKUL Skullcandy Inc. n/a n/a n/a 0 Trade
FSLR First Solar Inc. 48.06 0.29 0.61 983,257 Trade
OLED Universal Display Corporation 109.80 -2.35 -2.10 745,340 Trade
BIIB Biogen Inc. 281.77 -2.65 -0.93 814,072 Trade
PHM PulteGroup Inc. 25.28 -0.16 -0.63 3,649,662 Trade
ARAY Accuray Incorporated 4.05 0.00 0.00 398,522 Trade
NFLX Netflix Inc. 166.54 0.45 0.27 7,385,736 Trade
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc. 102.21 0.00 0.00 1,139,401 Trade
CYBR CyberArk Software Ltd. 40.08 0.01 0.02 435,435 Trade
GRPN Groupon Inc. 3.99 0.14 3.64 5,482,757 Trade
GNRC Generac Holdlings Inc. 36.41 0.06 0.17 248,472 Trade
ENR Energizer Holdings Inc. 41.33 -0.43 -1.03 898,099 Trade
HAS Hasbro Inc. 95.51 -1.65 -1.70 1,399,735 Trade
WFM Whole Foods Market Inc. 41.73 0.00 0.00 2,316,383 Trade
QLYS Qualys Inc. 44.95 0.35 0.78 133,127 Trade
HAR Harman International Industries Incorporated n/a n/a n/a 0 Trade
MSFT Microsoft Corporation 72.49 0.09 0.12 18,761,491 Trade
WWWW Web.com Group Inc. n/a n/a n/a 0

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