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Modest Uptick in USD/JPY on Bank of Japan’s Dovish Turn

BOJ's Governor Kuroda pledged to add stimulus if needed. Equities and yields marginally down, limiting the upside for USD/JPY.
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FXStreet is the leading independent portal dedicated to the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market and was founded in 2000. The website offers a wide range of tools and resources: 24/5 currency news, real-time economic calendar, advanced rates and charts, educational webinars, analysis reports, forecasts, Learning Center, newsletters, industry services, FX customizable studies… As its distinctive trademark, the portal has always been proud of its unyielding compromise to provide neutral and unbiased information and to enable its users to take better and more confident decisions. FXStreet has managed to gain the collaboration of the entire Forex industry, from individual professionals and small companies right up to Forex Brokers and Investment Banks. FXStreet covers the FX Market 24/5: an expert team of journalists, traders and economists picture what the market is doing and what is happening as it happens. Besides the main website in English, the portal is available in 16 other languages (English, Japanese, Simplified Chinese, Traditional Chinese, Spanish, Russian, Arabic, Turkish, Indonesian, Portuguese, German, French, Italian, Hungarian and Vietnamese, Korean and Catalan). FXStreet was short listed as “Best e-FX initiative of the year (vendor)” for the FX Week e-FX Awards 2010.
  • BOJ’s Governor pledged to add stimulus if needed.
  • Equities and yields marginally down, limiting the upside for USD/JPY.

The greenback is firmer Tuesday although with uneven strength across the FX board, although advancing evenly against its European rivals. The USD/JPY pair rose to 110.81, trading around this last. The JPY was hit overnight by comments from BOJ’s Governor Kuroda, who said that he would consider adding more stimulus to achieve the inflation target if needed, and/or if the yen’s moves impact the economy.

Equities traded with a soft tone in Asia, while European indexes follow suit, limiting the pair’s gains. US Treasury yields, which came back after a long weekend, are marginally lower also preventing USD/JPY from rallying further. Wall Street will also return after a long weekend, with the indexes marginally lower ahead of the opening amid the poor performance of overseas counterparts. The US calendar has nothing relevant to offer today, with a minor housing index schedule and the auction of short-term government bills.

From a technical point of view, the pair is short-term bullish, given that its steady above the upper end of its previous range, and advancing above its 100 and 200 SMA in the 4 hours chart, where technical indicators hold near daily highs, partially losing their upward strength. The pair has topped for this year at 111.12, with a break above the level favoring an extension up to 111.44, Dec. 26 daily high.

Support levels: 110.50 110.10 109.80

Resistance levels: 110.80 111.10 111.45

As the markets put the debt ceiling debacle in the rearview mirror, more than a few issues remain open.