Identifying the Potential of Trends for the Week Ahead (11/23/15)

Alexey Panasenko  |

Forex technical analysis helps to answer the questions: How to interpret Forex rates? Buy? Sell? Close a trade? Take profit or let it run for some more time? Will it face reversal or go trhough correction? Accept a loss and “flip over” or wait for some more time? Finally, how to define Forex trend?” All these questions drive a trader (mainly beginning) crazy, if he does not know the answer. By the way, who will dare to claim to know the answer? Forex exchange rates are cruel towards one's self-confidence and arrogant manner. Nevertheless, it is subject to regularities and daily techical analysis. There are plenty of strategies on Forex trend lines. We are not so much interested with the direction of fx rate along major lines (this is interesting too, though) as with the Potential of the Forex trend. The main purpose of our Forex technical analysis report named "Potential of Trend" is to find if current price goes through correction either we face a trend.

S&P 500

Monthly: scenario remain the same: after a possible touch of the upper Bollinger band (2169.5) we are waiting for a downward reversal

Weekly: a little more localized resistance level - 2162.1 (the upper Bollinger band)

The daily chart: even more localized upper Bollinger band (2120.2). Support 2077.2 (the middle band).


The main scenario - touch of 2120.2 and drop to 2077.2

The alternative scenario - break above 2120.2 and growth to 2162.1

solutions: when we have a short signal on one of the resistance levels specified in the review, we shall sell 2077.2 to


Monthly: an almost destroyed August bullish pinbar, which caused a lot of controversy and talks about the upward reversal. We expect continuation of not only decline, but also acceleration of process. The medium-term goal - 28.10

Weekly: localized support 41.42 (the bottom Bollinger Band). ADX parameters are very active, so the downward breakthrough is clearly a priority.

The daily chart: Friday's bearish pin broke up the inside bar and that was a false breakthrough. This is a very strong sign of a further decline.

Expectations: drop from current levels by 43.33 and 41.42. There is a threat of an even more serious decline, so I recommend medium-term traders to keep their sales towards 28.10

solutions: sales to 43.33, 41.42, 40.00


Monthly: the bottom Bollinger band is under a notable load of ADX, so we're very close to beginning of the new phase of falling of gold prices. If these expectations turn to be true, we can see the price on the cherished level 1000.00 dollars per ounce by the new year.

Weekly: here ADX is increasing pressure, but trend has not achieved the trend level yet. Typically, this means that after break of the bottom Bollinger band, there will be a roll back into the zone of confluence of the two middle Bollinger bands (1113.29-1128.36), where there is a potential area of massive supply of gold, which will collapse the quotes. Of course, based on the weekly chart, we are talking about a few bars of this scenario, and therefore - and a few weeks.

The daily chart: this week ssupport lines 1071.26 and 1045.52 can be attacked.

Expectations: drop to 1071.26 and 1045.52.

solutions: sales to 1071.26 and 1045.52

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please go to:



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