There may come a time, sooner than you think, when the world economy simply cannot operate to its full potential without bitcoin, Facebook’s proposed Libra or some other large-scale digital currency.
Consider what’s happening in the U.S. alone: Regional banks are closing at a rapid rate, creating so-called “banking deserts.” Meanwhile, the number of financial advisory and wealth management firms is shrinking due to constricting regulations and increased consolidation.
These trends should be alarming to anyone reading this because it means that more and more Americans may find it hard to get access to basic financial services. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, “maximizing the number of Americans who use conventional financial services is essential to the well-being of not only those individuals and households but also the broader economy.”
Even getting a hold of physical cash has become more challenging for some people. Since the peak in 2009, the number of bank branches in the U.S. has plummeted about 11.5 percent, due in large part to rising costs per square foot. There doesn’t seem to be a slowdown in sight.
Last year set a new record, in fact. Net bank branch closures totaled 1,947 in 2018, or nearly 800 more than were shuttered only six years earlier. “Hundreds of banks have sold off in recent years due to rising compliance costs and a more competitive landscape, among other factors,” says S&P Global.
One of U.S. Global Investors’ neighbors, in fact—insurance provider USAA—is reportedly in talks to sell its $100 billion wealth management operations to retail stockbroker Charles Schwab.
“Schwab’s move would be the latest in a string of recent deals by big wealth advisers and banks to snap up smaller firms as they hunt for growth in more specialized niches as well as other benefits of scale,” the Wall Street Journal explains.
A Complex and Fragmented Financial Regulatory Structure
As I’ve already said, rising compliance costs seem to be a big factor behind bank closures and M&A activity. These costs have expanded in recent years because there’s so much complexity, fragmentation and overlap in the U.S. financial regulatory structure
Take a look at the visual below, made by the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO), the government’s “watchdog.” It’s enough to make you cross-eyed.
Because of the fragmentation, “financial entities may fall under the regulatory authority of multiple regulators depending on the types of activities in which they engage,” the GAO writes in a February 2016 report.
The group continues: “Fragmentation and overlap have created inefficiencies in regulatory processes, inconsistencies in how regulators oversee similar types of institutions and differences in the levels of protection afforded to consumers.”
What’s GAO’s recommendation? To reduce and streamline the rules and regulatory bodies.
I’ve made the same suggestion a number of times in the past. We need rules in order to maintain a level playing field, but the overlapping and fragmentation has led to increased costs, uncertainty, reduced competitiveness and much more.
Can Lawmakers Be Satisfied With Libra?
At the moment, cryptocurrencies are not regulated, but it’s only a matter of time. I welcome any rules that might assuage some people’s concerns about money-laundering, terrorism financing and other illicit activity. Because, again, these assets will, I believe, account for a bigger and bigger economic engine, relied upon by millions of people and businesses all over the world. There must be trust, as there’s trust today in the U.S. dollar and gold.
During his recent congressional testimony, David Marcus, head of Facebook’s Calibra wallet, was asked if he were willing to be compensated 100 percent in Libra.
“Trust all of my assets in Libra? Yes, I would,” Marcus responded. “I would because it is backed one-for-one with a reserve.”
That’s as convincing an endorsement as you’re likely to find.
Equities Contributor: Frank Holmes
Source: Equities News