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EUR/USD Analysis: No Valid Reasons to Go Long

The EUR/USD pair fell to a daily low of 1.1370 as sentiment deteriorated overnight, on reports indicating Chinese economic growth would likely decelerate in this 2019.
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FXStreet is the leading independent portal dedicated to the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market and was founded in 2000. The website offers a wide range of tools and resources: 24/5 currency news, real-time economic calendar, advanced rates and charts, educational webinars, analysis reports, forecasts, Learning Center, newsletters, industry services, FX customizable studies… As its distinctive trademark, the portal has always been proud of its unyielding compromise to provide neutral and unbiased information and to enable its users to take better and more confident decisions. FXStreet has managed to gain the collaboration of the entire Forex industry, from individual professionals and small companies right up to Forex Brokers and Investment Banks. FXStreet covers the FX Market 24/5: an expert team of journalists, traders and economists picture what the market is doing and what is happening as it happens. Besides the main website in English, the portal is available in 16 other languages (English, Japanese, Simplified Chinese, Traditional Chinese, Spanish, Russian, Arabic, Turkish, Indonesian, Portuguese, German, French, Italian, Hungarian and Vietnamese, Korean and Catalan). FXStreet was short listed as “Best e-FX initiative of the year (vendor)” for the FX Week e-FX Awards 2010.

EUR/USD Current price: 1.1387

  • EU December inflation confirmed at 1.6% YoY, US data surprised to the upside.
  • US indexes fight back in a risk-averse environment, trimming part of their pre-opening loses.

The EUR/USD pair fell to a daily low of 1.1370 as sentiment deteriorated overnight, on reports indicating Chinese economic growth would likely decelerate in this 2019. Also hurting market’s sentiment is the political situation of the UK, as, despite PM May survived the no-confidence vote, there are no certainties over what’s next in the Brexit front. The EU released the final versions of December inflation, confirmed at 1.6% YoY, below November’s reading of 1.9%, exacerbating speculation that the ECB will have to delay its first rate hike in the post-QE era to 2020.

The US just released some minor figures that anyway gave a boost to the greenback, as weekly unemployment claims were of 213K in the week ended January 11, while the Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey jumped to 17.0 in January, almost doubling December reading of 9.1. The sour tone of Asian and European equities dragged Wall Street lower ahead of the opening, although the three major indexes are bouncing from intraday lows, battling against the dominant negative mood.

The EUR/USD pair continues struggling around the 61.8% retracement of its latest bullish run, although the lower lows daily basis skew the risk to the downside. In the 4 hours chart, the pair is unable to advance beyond a directionless 200 SMA, while the shorter ones stand above this last, also suggesting the pair is under bears’ control. Technical indicators in the mentioned chart, offer neutral-to-bearish slopes well into negative ground, reaffirming the downward bias.

Support levels: 1.1360 1.1320 1.1285

Resistance levels: 1.1425 1.1450 1.1480

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