New Home Sales rose by a less than expected 1.3% in October to an annual rate of 307,000, as the inventory stays at a record low of 162,000 units. On Tuesday Consumer Confidence should improve to 43.0 from 39.8 in November, but remember that 90 to 120 is the neutral zone for this data. On Wednesday Chicago PMI should improve to 60.0. On Thursday national manufacturing ISM should be 52.0 in November with Construction Spending up 0.1% in October. Then we have the drum-roll for November’s Employment Data with the economy creating 125,000 jobs with a 9.0% unemployment rate. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rebounded strongly to a morning high of 11,562.10, above its 50-day simple moving average at 11,538. Gains faded in afternoon trading with the Dow moving below 11,470 into the final hour of trading. The NASDAQ popped from 2509.07 to 2531.32 on Monday morning then consolidated those gains staying well below its 50-day simple moving average at 2584.
Asian stocks advanced on Monday on further euro rescue proposals and strong Black Friday shopping in the US. The Nikkei 225 gained 1.56% to 8,287 with the Hang Seng surging 1.97% to 18,038. European stocks followed Asia higher on Monday. The FTSE 100 rallied by 2.87% to 5,313, the DAX jumped 4.60% to 5,745 and the CAC 40 surged 5.46% to 3,013. The yield on the US Treasury 10-Year note moved higher from 1.986 percent to 2.080 moving above the 50-day simple moving average at 2.037, then declined to 1.951. Gold rebounded from $1684.0 the Troy ounce to $1722.4 moving above its 50-day simple moving average at $1702.5. Crude oil rebounded from $97.48 per barrel to $100.74 then declined to $97.13 above its 200-day simple moving average at $95.59, which held on weakness last week. The euro versus the dollar moved higher from 1.3276 to 1.3398 on Monday.
Anadarko's (APC) gas discoveries off the Mozambique coast could be twice as large as initially thought, which strengthens hopes that other firms might find large amounts of gas off East Africa. Those exploring in the region include BP (BP), Statoil (STO) and Exxon (XOM). Notable morning movers include; Arch Coal (ACI) up 6.7%, Anadarko Petroleum (APC) up 7.2%, Baker Hughes (BHI) up 5.4%, Patriot Coal (PCX) up 8.1%, Transocean (RIG) up 4.1%, and Schlumberger (SLB) up 4.4%.
Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) was trading at $65.77 into the final half hour of trading on Monday, up 3.04% on the day – down 3.63% year-to-date.
Small cap Avalon Rare Metals (AVL) was initiated as a Buy according to Citigroup. Potash (POT) is upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at Scotia. The fertilizer company Mosaic (MOS) has been downgraded to Hold from Buy at Canaccord Genuity. Canaccord also downgraded Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM) to Hold from Buy. Notable morning movers include; Alcoa (AA) up 5.8%, AngloGold Ashanti (AU) up 3.1%, Cemex (CX) popped by 19.0%., Dow Chemical (DOW) was up 5.6%, International Paper (IP) gained 3.7%, Owens Illinois (OI) rallied by 4.7%, and US Steel (X) gained 8.1%.
The Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) was trading at $32.35 into the final half hour of trading on Monday, up 2.99% on the day – down 15.78% year-to-date.
Fluor (FLR) has been upgraded to Outperform from Neutral with a $70 price target at Robert W. Baird. The company cites strong backlog trends and healthy balance sheet. Ryder System (R) is downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Suntrust. Notable morning movers include; Boeing (BA) gained 4.1%, Caterpillar (CAT) rebounded by 4.8%, Rockwell Collins (COL) was up 3.4%, FedEx (FDX) rebounded 5.2%, General Electric (GE) was up 3.2%, 3M Company (MMM) was up 2.3%, Northrop Grumman (NOC) gained 3.7%, and Raytheon (RTN) tacked on 2.5%.
The Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) was trading at $32.04 into the final half hour of trading on Monday, up 2.82% on the day – down 8.12% year-to-date.
Deep discounts and midnight store openings sparked a stronger than expected Black Friday weekend. According to industry surveys Thanksgiving weekend sales jumped 16.4% to a record $52.4 billion. An estimated 226 million shoppers visited stores or Internet sites, up 6.6% from a year ago. Today’s Cyber Monday sales are projected to reach $1.2 billion. Foot Locker (FL) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS. The video game stock Electronic Arts (ERTS) was boosted to Buy from Neutral at Citi. Fossil (FOSL) is liked by The Benchmark Company on a more attractive valuation. The upscale grocery Whole Foods (WFM) is upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Northcoast. The casino company Wynn Resorts (WYNN) was upgraded to Buy from Hold with a $145 price target at Keybanc The Macau gaming market continues its robust growth as Las Vegas is shows signs of recovery. Coinstar (CSTR) was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan. Amazon.com (AMZN) rallied 5.9% on strong sales of Kindle Fire.
The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) was trading at $37.30 into the final half hour of trading on Monday, up 2.67% on the day – down 0.29% year-to-date.
Deep discounts and midnight store openings sparked a stronger than expected Black Friday weekend. According to industry surveys Thanksgiving weekend sales jumped 16.4% to a record $52.4 billion. An estimated 226 million shoppers visited stores or Internet sites, up 6.6% from a year ago. Today’s Cyber Monday sales are projected to reach $1.2 billion. PetSmart (PETM) has been initiated with a Buy rating and $57 price target at Needham. Netflix (NFLX) have been upgraded to Neutral from Negative with a price target of $60 at Susquehanna. Kellogg (K) has been downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform by BMO Capital.
The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) was trading at $30.73 into the final half hour of trading on Monday, up 1.19% on the day – up 4.84% year-to-date.
Gilead Sciences (GILD) has been added to the Conviction Buy List at Goldman Sachs. Arena Pharmaceuticals (ARNA) has been upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray. Small cap PharmAthene (PIP) has been downgraded to Hold from Strong Buy at WBB Securities after a recent small pox legal ruling. Notable morning movers include; Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) gained 1.9%, Merck & Co (MRK) was up 3.0% and Pfizer (PFE) gained 2.9%.
The Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) was trading at $32.40 into the final half hour of trading on Monday, up 2.18% on the day – up 2.86% year-to-date.
Yields on Italian bonds jumped to 7.3% in an inflation-linked auction of $758.4 million set to mature in 2023. The prior auction in March was 2.9%. More bonds are on the docket this week and there’s talk that the IMF is considering loaning Italy 600 billion in Euros. Wall Street pay will decline a sharp 30% in 2011 with bonuses down 40%. Fixed Income Desks are said to be hardest hit. Moneygram (MGI) is started as a Buy at Bank of America, while Wells Fargo assigns the company an Outperform. T. Rowe Price (TROW) is upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Ticonderoga, who set a $57 price target. Banco Santander-Chile (SAN) is upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank. Unum Group (UNM) has been added to Citi’s Top Picks Live list. Genworth Financial (GNW) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citi. American Express (AXP) has been downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley. Citigroup (C) gets cut to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley. MetLife (MET) has been removed from Citi’s list of Top Picks Live. Bank of New York Mellon (BK), Northern Trust (NTRS), and State Street (STT) have been downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley. Eaton Vance (EV) gets downgraded by Credit Suisse to Underperform from Neutral.
The Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) was trading at $12.02 into the final half hour of trading on Monday, up 2.04% on the day – down 24.64% year-to-date.
Google (GOOG) has been lifted to Buy from Neutral by Citigroup who sets a price target at $680. Salesforce.com (CRM) has been upgraded to Buy from Hold with a $125 target price at Needham. Notable morning movers include; Apple Inc (AAPL) was up 2.7%, Cisco Systems (CSCO) gained 2.9%, Dell Inc (DELL) popped by 5.2%, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) was up 2.9%, Intel Corp (INTC) was up 3.3%, and Microsoft (MSFT) gained 2.0%.
The Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) was trading at $24.65 into the final half hour of trading on Monday, up 2.67% on the day – down 2.14% year-to-date.
According to Bloomberg AT&T (T) may offer to sell up to 40% of T-Mobile USA’s assets in an effort to save their $39 billion deal. Verizon (VZ) has been upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS. Research In Motion (RIMM) was cut to Neutral from Buy at Sterne Agee. Ericsson (ERIC) has been downgraded to Hold from Buy at Société Générale. Notable morning movers include; Leap Wireless (LEAP) jumped by 14.2%, Metro PCS (PCS) gained 6.5%. and Sprint Nextel (S) rallied 5.5%.
The NASDAQ Telecommunications Index (IXTC) was trading at $193.14 into the final half hour of trading on Monday, up 2.66% on the day – down 14.30% year-to-date.
Notable morning movers include; AES Corp (AEG) rallied by 4.2%, Consolidated Water (CWCO) gained 6.5%, Duke Energy (DUK) gained 1.4%, PG&E Corp (PCG) rebounded 2.1%, PPL Corp (PPL) rebounded 1.7%, and Sempra Energy (SRE) was up 1.6%.
The Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU) was trading at $33.77 into the final half hour of trading on Monday, up 1.02% on the day – up 7.75% year-to-date.
STOCKS: APC, BP, STO, XOM, ACI, BHI, PCX, RIG, SLB, AVL, POT, MOS, AEM, AA, AU, CX, DOW, IP, OI, X, FLR, R, BA, CAT, COL, FDX, GE, MMM, NOC, RTN, FL, ERTS, FOSL, WFM, WYNN, CSTR, AMZN, PETM, NFLX, K, GILD, ARNA, PIP, JNJ, MRK, PFE, MGI, TROW, SAN, UNM, GNW, AXP, C, BK, NTRS, STT, EV, GOOG, CRM, AAPL, CSCO, DELL, HPQ, INTC, MSFT, T, VZ, RIMM, ERIC, LEAP, PCS, S, AEG, CWCO, DUK, PCG, PPL, SRE
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