Earnings Season Kicks Off with Disappointing Outlooks

Joel Anderson  |

It's earnings season again and companies are lining up to begin reporting earnings from the first quarter of 2012. The markets, on the whole, have been pumping out consistent gains in terms of share price as the major indices responded well to Europe appearing to stabilize and relatively strong economic data continuing to flow out.

However, things appear to have taken a stumble in the last week or so. Since peaking on March 26, the markets have been in a mini slump and Friday's disappointing job report combined with troubling Spanish bond auctions have some worried about another downturn. If ever there was a time when a series of bullish earnings reports would be greatly appreciated, now would be that time.

Unfortunately, projections for the earnings reports for the first three months of 2012 don't appear to be on pace for the sort of rebound that many would hope for. Thomas Reuters: "the earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 for Q1 2012 is 3.2%. Excluding Apple (AAPL), the overall growth rate declines to 1.8%. The Industrials (10.6%) and Consumer Discretionary (6.6%) sectors have the highest growth rates for the quarter, while Materials (-14.7%) has the weakest growth rate."

Apple to Keep Rising?

While the markets as a whole don't appear to have the mojo in their earnings to support further rallies in the coming months, Apple may be poised to knock another earnings statement out of the park. The company launched itself into the stratosphere in January after its last earnings report, and with the release of the new iPad coming since then, there's a real chance that Apple is going to crush expectations once again. Already the most valuable company in the world, look for Apple to pad its lead over Exxon Mobil (XOM) if this turns out to be the case. Apple, though, won't be reporting until April 24th, and until then the business world waits with baited breath.

Early Reports

This next week holds reports from Alcoa (AA) on Tuesday and Google (GOOG) on Thursday afternoon. On the whole, people are watching closely to see if analysts predictions that this will be the slowest quarter for growth in over three years will come true. Alcoa has long been viewed as a classic bellwether for the economy, and Google's earning could give a real insight into the tech sector's future.

"It seems like we're hitting resistance," said Jack Ablin, chief investment officer of Harris Private Bank in Chicago. "I think the market will grind higher, but it will be at a much slower pace. Earnings and jobs aren't helping."

Financial Sector to Continue Bull Run?

One sector that appears capable of bucking the downward trend is financials. Banks have been coming back in a big way after suffering through the financial crisis five years ago and then taking a major hit in the second half of last year while markets panicked over the European debt crisis. Since? Bank of America (BAC) has managed to double its share price since December 20th, and many believe that major banks are capable of continuing their strong run. Look out for earnings reports from JP Morgan (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) on Friday morning to kick things off for the sector.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of equities.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please go to: http://www.equities.com/disclaimer

Companies

Symbol Name Price Change % Volume
AA Alcoa Corporation 28.21 -0.06 -0.21 3,000,211 Trade
BYD Boyd Gaming Corporation 28.10 0.25 0.90 803,014 Trade
BAC Bank of America Corporation 29.13 0.02 0.07 40,529,747 Trade
GOOG Alphabet Inc. 1,118.56 4.91 0.44 1,032,691 Trade
WFC Wells Fargo & Company 49.38 0.16 0.33 15,064,312 Trade
AAPL Apple Inc. 170.93 0.51 0.30 18,143,426 Trade
JPM JP Morgan Chase & Co. 105.18 -0.37 -0.35 12,475,750 Trade
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation 78.23 0.52 0.67 13,019,762 Trade

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Watchlist

Symbol Last Price Change % Change
AAPL

     
AMZN

     
HD

     
JPM

     
IBM

     
BA

     
WMT

     
DIS

     
XOM

     

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