Consumer Cyclicals Sector 4Q18: Best and Worst

David Trainer  |

The Consumer Cyclicals sector ranks seventh out of the 11 sectors as detailed in our 4Q18 Sector Ratings for ETFs and Mutual Funds report. Last quarter, the Consumer Cyclicals sector ranked eighth. It gets our Neutral rating, which is based on an aggregation of ratings of the 444 stocks in the Consumer Cyclicals secto. See a recap of our 3Q18 Sector Ratings here.

Figures 1 and 2 show the five best and worst rated ETFs and mutual funds in the sector. Not all Consumer Cyclicals sector ETFs and mutual funds are created the same. The number of holdings varies widely (from 25 to 348). This variation creates drastically different investment implications and, therefore, ratings.

Investors seeking exposure to the Consumer Cyclicals sector should buy one of the Attractive-or-better rated ETFs or mutual funds from Figures 1 and 2.

Our Robo-Analyst technology[1] empowers our unique ETF and mutual fund rating methodology, which leverages our rigorous analysis of each fund’s holdings.[2] We think advisors and investors focused on prudent investment decisions should include analysis of fund holdings in their research process for ETFs and mutual funds.

Figure 1: ETFs with the Best & Worst Ratings - Top 5

Image Source: New Constructs, LLC

* Best ETFs exclude ETFs with TNAs less than $100 million for inadequate liquidity.

Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings

Four ETFs (IEDI, PSCD, PMR, JHMC) are excluded from Figure 1 because their total net assets (TNA) are below $100 million and do not meet our liquidity minimums.

Figure 2: Mutual Funds with the Best & Worst Ratings

Image Source: New Constructs, LLC

* Best mutual funds exclude funds with TNAs less than $100 million for inadequate liquidity.

Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings

Two mutual funds (ICCCX, ICCAX) are excluded from Figure 2 because their total net assets (TNA) are below $100 million and do not meet our liquidity minimums.

XRT is the top-rated Consumer Cyclicals ETF and FDLSX is the top-rated Consumer Cyclicals mutual fund. XRT earns an Attractive rating and FDLSX earns a Very Attractive rating.

PBS is the worst rated Consumer Cyclicals ETF and FCNAX is the worst rated Consumer Cyclicals mutual fund. PBS earns a Neutral rating and FCNAX earns an Unattractive rating.

444 stocks of the 2850+ we cover are classified as Consumer Cyclicals stocks.

The Danger Within

Buying a fund without analyzing its holdings is like buying a stock without analyzing its business and finances. Put another way, research on fund holdings is necessary due diligence because a fund’s performance is only as good as its holdings’ performance. Don’t just take our word for it, see what Barron’s says on this matter.

PERFORMANCE OF HOLDINGs = PERFORMANCE OF FUND

Analyzing each holding within funds is no small task. Our Robo-Analyst technology enables us to perform this diligence with scale and provide the research needed to fulfill the fiduciary duty of care. More of the biggest names in the financial industry (see At BlackRock, Machines Are Rising Over Managers to Pick Stocks) are now embracing technology to leverage machines in the investment research process. Technology may be the only solution to the dual mandate for research: cut costs and fulfill the fiduciary duty of care. Investors, clients, advisors and analysts deserve the latest in technology to get the diligence required to make prudent investment decisions.

Figures 3 and 4 show the rating landscape of all Consumer Cyclicals ETFs and mutual funds.

Figure 3: Separating the Best ETFs From the Worst ETFs

Image Source: New Constructs, LLC

Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings

Figure 4: Separating the Best Mutual Funds from the Worst Mutual Funds

Image Source: New Constructs, LLC

Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings

This article originally published on October 15, 2018.

Disclosure: David Trainer and Kyle Guske receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, sector or theme.

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[1] Harvard Business School features the powerful impact of our research automation technology in the case New Constructs: Disrupting Fundamental Analysis with Robo-Analysts.

[2] Ernst & Young’s recent white paper "Getting ROIC Right" proves the superiority of our holdings research and analytics.

DISCLOSURE: Disclosure: David Trainer and Kyle Guske receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, sector or theme.


The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of equities.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please go to: http://www.equities.com/disclaimer

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