China announced that it will levy 25% tariffs on 106 products that are produced in the US including soybeans, automobiles, chemicals and aircraft. The news pretty much guarantees that the share prices of Caterpillar (CAT) and Boeing (BA) which were down substantially on the news will not eclipse their early 2018 all-time highs for years. For this reason, China’s Tariffs are the 10th Nail in the coffin of the 2009 secular bull who died in January 2018.

The 10th Nail was preceded by Amazon’s (AMZN). See my article “Trump Sledgehammering AMAZON Nail into 2009 Bull’s Coffin”. The newest nail further increases the probability that the market will not get back to its January 2018 all-time high for at least eight years. This makes it more likely that the new secular bear market was born in January 2018. The chart below which includes the duration of all the eight secular bulls and bears since 1802 depicts the shortest lifespan for a bull or a bear being 8 years.

The chart below which depicts the stock market’s bubbles since 2007 is based on the price history of the S&P 500 versus long-term US government bonds for the period of 2003 through February 2018. The large bubble which had been in place prior to the election of Donald Trump as U.S. President has expanded significantly.

I have been monitoring this bubble since 2016. It was originally discovered from my crash research that I have been conducting since the Bank of Japan (BOJ) instituted a Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) in February 2016. My research enabled me to find the bubble and other historical anomalies or distortions in the capital markets that have been present for the last several years. Watch the video below to view the charts and graphs for the anomalies and distortions which have put the markets on the precipice of a crash.


To insure access to all of my articles, reports and alerts covering the new bear market which was born on January 31, 2018 (see my February 6, article “BULL DEAD, BEAR DOB 01/31/18: Expect Stock Market Decline of at Least 50%) sign up for the free newsletter at http://www.dynastywealth.com/news-nviro-1.php. Additionally, all of my updates including my play by play on the 2018 crash upon its commencing will be sent to the newsletter’s subscribers.

I am recommending the deployment of a 90/10 Crash Protection Strategy. For information on the strategy which is the only fail-safe strategy that one can utilize to protect their liquid assets from crashes, recessions and depressions view video below entitled “Crash! & 90/10 Crash Protection Strategy”.

My crash research that I began to conduct in 2016, resulted in my developing an algorithm that I utilized to issue market crash warnings during 2016 when negative interest rates posed great risks to the global economy. See www.equities.com article “NIRP Crash Indicator Signals Very Reliable for 2016”. Due to the ebbing of negative rates in 2017, after Mr. Trump’s election as President and the unprecedented low stock market and especially currency volatility, the NIRP Crash Indicator was disengaged in March of 2017. See www.equities.com article “No Longer a Need for NIRP Crash Indicator Signals”. Upon currencies volatility picking up the NIRP Crash Indicator will be re-engaged. Its warnings will be available to Trophy Investing’s members.

Disclaimer. Mr. Markowski’s predictions are frequently ahead of the curve. The September 2007 predictions that appeared in his EquitiesMagazine.com column stated that share-price collapses of the five major brokers, including Lehman and Bear Stearns, were imminent. While accurate, they proved to be premature. For this reason he had to advise readers to get out a second time in his January 2008 column entitled “Brokerages and the Sub-Prime Crash”. His third and final warning to get out, and stay out, occurred in October of 2008 after Lehman had filed for bankruptcy. In that article “The Carnage for Financials Isn’t Over” he reiterated that share prices for Goldman and Morgan Stanley were too high. By the end of November 2008, the share prices of both had fallen by an additional 60% and 70%, respectively — new all-time lows.