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Do People Really Believe Trump Will Bring a Million Manufacturing Jobs Back?

Are Americans buying what Trump's selling?
  • 2 min Read

By Adam Probolsky

Adam Probolsky is CEO of Probolsky Research; a full service opinion research firm specializing in elections and public policy and working on behalf of business, government, labor, political, media and other special interest clients. He has acted as pollster and strategic advisor on matters of public policy, legislation, elections and business. Probolsky was both a planning and finance commissioner for the city of Irvine where he oversaw and approved billions of dollars in private development and public infrastructure projects. As a past chairman of the Irvine Valley College Foundation, he has overseen the fundraising and the award of hundreds of thousands of dollars in scholarships to students and funding for college police. He was also a member of the Orange County Waste & Recycling Commission where he oversaw landfills, recycling programs, waste hauling companies and power generating facilities. As a member of the Orange County Transportation Authority’s Environmental Mitigation and Oversight Committee, he oversaw the expenditure of over $175 million dollars in public transportation funds. Probolsky has been published and quoted numerous times in publications such as the New York Times, Riverside Press Enterprise, the Orange County Register, Los Angeles Times and Politico. Additionally, has been a regular panelist on news and public affairs television programs such as the KTLA Channel 5 Morning Show and Inside SoCal on PBS. Probolsky also wrote a weekly column for the Orange County Register for four years. He previously served as a board member and development committee chairman for Jewish Family Service of Orange County, a non-profit organization that serves families in need, and volunteered for nearly eight years with the Orange County Sheriff’s Department as a spokesperson. Probolsky formerly served as a member of the Policy Committee on Energy and the Environment of the United States Chamber of Commerce. He is an alum of the U.S. State Department funded American Council of Young Political Leaders with which he traveled to El Salvador and Nicaragua. He has also traveled to Taipei and Doha, Qatar with U.S. Congressional leadership and to Havana in 2007 as part of a religious mission. Probolsky is a New Jersey native who has lived in Irvine, California for thirty years. He is married with three children.
Adam Probolsky is CEO of Probolsky Research; a full service opinion research firm specializing in elections and public policy and working on behalf of business, government, labor, political, media and other special interest clients. He has acted as pollster and strategic advisor on matters of public policy, legislation, elections and business. Probolsky was both a planning and finance commissioner for the city of Irvine where he oversaw and approved billions of dollars in private development and public infrastructure projects. As a past chairman of the Irvine Valley College Foundation, he has overseen the fundraising and the award of hundreds of thousands of dollars in scholarships to students and funding for college police. He was also a member of the Orange County Waste & Recycling Commission where he oversaw landfills, recycling programs, waste hauling companies and power generating facilities. As a member of the Orange County Transportation Authority’s Environmental Mitigation and Oversight Committee, he oversaw the expenditure of over $175 million dollars in public transportation funds. Probolsky has been published and quoted numerous times in publications such as the New York Times, Riverside Press Enterprise, the Orange County Register, Los Angeles Times and Politico. Additionally, has been a regular panelist on news and public affairs television programs such as the KTLA Channel 5 Morning Show and Inside SoCal on PBS. Probolsky also wrote a weekly column for the Orange County Register for four years. He previously served as a board member and development committee chairman for Jewish Family Service of Orange County, a non-profit organization that serves families in need, and volunteered for nearly eight years with the Orange County Sheriff’s Department as a spokesperson. Probolsky formerly served as a member of the Policy Committee on Energy and the Environment of the United States Chamber of Commerce. He is an alum of the U.S. State Department funded American Council of Young Political Leaders with which he traveled to El Salvador and Nicaragua. He has also traveled to Taipei and Doha, Qatar with U.S. Congressional leadership and to Havana in 2007 as part of a religious mission. Probolsky is a New Jersey native who has lived in Irvine, California for thirty years. He is married with three children.

Summary of Findings

  • AMERICANS BELIEVE THAT ONE MILLION MANUFACTURING JOBS WILL RETURN TO THE US UNDER PRESIDENT TRUMP (55%)
  • MAJORITY OF AMERICANS SAY IT IS INAPPROPRIATE FOR POTUS TO CRITICIZE INDIVIDUAL COMPANIES (52%)
  • MAJORITY OPPOSE BORDER TAX ON MEXICAN PRODUCTS TO FUND WALL (62%)
  • LARGE MAJORITY SAYS IT IS THE NEWS MEDIA’S RESPONSIBILITY TO FACT-CHECK POLITICIANS (83%)
  • MORE THAN 1/3 OF VOTERS BELIEVE AMERICA COULD CEASE TO EXIST DURING A TRUMP PRESIDENCY (36%)

Results of Feb 2017 National Poll

1. How likely do you think it is that at least one million manufacturing jobs will come back to the US during Donald Trump’s presidency?


LIKELY 55% [NET]

  • Very likely 20%
  • Somewhat likely 35%

NOT LIKELY 41% [NET]

  • Somewhat unlikely 19%
  • Not at all likely 22%
  • Unsure 4%

2. Do you think it is appropriate or inappropriate for President Trump to publicly criticize individual companies that may move jobs out of the US?


  • Inappropriate 52%
  • Appropriate 40%
  • Unsure 8%

3. Would you support or oppose a 20 percent tax on products imported into the US from Mexico to fund President Trump’s proposed wall along the Mexican border?


  • Oppose 62%
  • Support 31%
  • Unsure 7%

4. Do you believe that it is the news media’s responsibility to fact-check politicians and report when they lie?


  • Yes 83%
  • No 13%
  • Unsure 4%

5. How likely do you think it is that during the Trump Presidency the government will break down and the country will cease to exist as we know it today?

  • LIKELY 36%
  • Very likely 15%
  • Somewhat likely 21%
  • NOT LIKELY 60%
  • Somewhat unlikely 20%
  • Not at all likely 40%
  • Unsure 4%

METHODOLOGY

Probolsky Research surveyed a nationally representative sample of 1,000 adults living in the United States. Telephone interviews were conducted by landline and mobile phone (500). The survey was offered in both English and Spanish (43 respondents chose to complete the survey in Spanish) and conducted from February 2 – 5, 2017. Statistical results are weighted to compensate for demographic discrepancies. We utilize rounding to bring aggregate responses to 100% for presentation purposes. The margin of error for this survey is +/-3.9%.

Probolsky Research conducts opinion research on behalf of business, government, media, non-profit, and special interest clients. Adam Probolsky is CEO of Probolsky Research.

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