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Can These 4 Gold Stocks Weather Tough Times?

It would not be much of a stretch to advance the thesis that gold is having a turbulent, if not violent year after over a decade spent in bull-market conditions. The reasons for this are
Michael Teague is a staff writer for Equities.com. His previous experience includes three years as the associate editor of Los Angeles-based Al Jadid Magazine, a bi-annual review of the arts & culture of the Middle East, where he contributed many articles on the region in the form of features and book & film reviews. His educational background includes a BA in French literature from the University of California, Irvine, where he developed a startling proclivity for anything having to do with the 19th century.
Michael Teague is a staff writer for Equities.com. His previous experience includes three years as the associate editor of Los Angeles-based Al Jadid Magazine, a bi-annual review of the arts & culture of the Middle East, where he contributed many articles on the region in the form of features and book & film reviews. His educational background includes a BA in French literature from the University of California, Irvine, where he developed a startling proclivity for anything having to do with the 19th century.

It would not be much of a stretch to advance the thesis that gold is having a turbulent, if not violent year after over a decade spent in bull-market conditions.

The reasons for this are ultimately tied to the uncertainty over the Federal Reserve Bank's timing for its expected draw-down of $85 billion monthly in bond and asset purchases. Subsequent to last week's FOMC meeting, the price of the yellow metal got a huge boost, climbing back over $1,300 per ounce as the central bank announced a very unexpected delay to the 3rd round of quantitative easing. But the celebration was short-lived, and came to a rather abrupt halt when James Bullard, the President of the St. Louis Federal Reserve bank told a Bloomber TV interview that the taper expected on Wednesday could just as well be announced at the same time next month.

The conditions for the precious metal this year have made it a rough one for gold mining companies as well. The following stocks have had a rough year, which in this instance can be measured by relatively high debt/equity ratios (over 0.5), indicating potential financial burdens on the horizon. Furthermore, 3 of these 4 stocks have negative return on equity (ROE) ratios, which could reflect that the company is not investing what capital it has in the most effective manner.

There is, however, one bright spot for these stocks, in the price-to-cash ratio. A P/C ratio greater than 1 is a potential indicator that, for the time being at least, there is enough cash around to keep operations going.

Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX) –
Market Cap: $18.65 billion
Debt/Equity: 1.17
Price/Cash Ratio: 7.7
Return on Equity: -49 percent

The Canadian miner is the second-largest in the industry, and has suffered tremendously so far this year. Shares are trading for $18.60, a loss of about 46 percent so far in 2013. All the same, the stock has an average analyst rating of "hold," and is managing to maintain a dividend yield of 1.07 percent.

 

Newmont Mining Corp. (NEM) –
Market Cap: $14 billion
Debt/Equity: 0.60
Price/Cash Ratio: 7.45
Return on Equity: -5.10 percent

Newmont is the third-largest company in the industry, just behind Barrick. The Canadian firm has also had a rough 2013, with shares currently trading for $28, down almost 40 percent. The stock still manages an analyst rating of "hold," and the company feels comfortable returning dividends at a rate of 3.5 percent.

 

AngloGold Ashanti Ltd. (AU) –
Market Cap: $5 billion
Debt/Equity: 1.1
Price/Cash Ratio: 12.10
Return on Equity: -38.50 percent

Though not as big as its peers, the South African miner is also an industry leader that has labored to make it through the year. Shares are currently trading for $13, having shed almost 60 percent of their price so far in 2013. The stock still garners an average rating of "hold," however, and offers a dividend of 1.6 percent.

 

Allied Nevada Gold Corp. (ANV) –
Market Cap: $452 million
Debt/Equity: 0.75
Price/Cash Ratio: 1.8
Return on Equity: 6.4 percent

The American gold miner is not as big as its peers on this list, but has had a similar year. Shares are trading for $4.65 each, down nearly 30 percent in 2013. Furthermore, Allied offers no dividend, and has an average analyst rating of "sell."

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