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Bond Yields Dive on Apple Warning, ISM Report

Yields took another dive lower today with the 1-year to 7-year inversion still intact.
Mike Shedlock / Mish is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit Sitka Pacific's Investment Management Page to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. I am also a contributing "professor" on Minyanville, a community site focused on economic and financial education.
Mike Shedlock / Mish is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit Sitka Pacific's Investment Management Page to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. I am also a contributing "professor" on Minyanville, a community site focused on economic and financial education.

Yields took another dive lower today with the 1-year to 7-year inversion still intact.

Last night Apple AAPL warned and this morning the ISM posted an unexpectedly low PMI report.

Bond yields plunged.

Apple Cites “Mounting Uncertainty”: APPL Down 7% AH, Nasdaq Futures Down 2.3%

Sharp, Unexpected Decline in ISM Numbers Led by Plunge in New Orders

Debt Watch

Despite the flattening and now inverting yield curve, note that the spread between the 10-year and 7-year bond actually rose since January 1, 2018.

The spread between the 30-year long bond and the 10-year note is nearly what it was a year ago.

I believe this is a strong bond market signal that the end of the bond bull market approaches. It’s possible it’s already over. But I do expect one more strong push lower in yields as recession hits in 2019.

We have enormous deficits as far as the eye can see from a starting point of $22 trillion in debt.

Got Gold?

Mike “Mish” Shedlock

This article was originally published at Mish Talk.

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