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5 Financial Stocks Investors Hate But Analysts Love

  +Follow December 9, 2013 8:43AM
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Here at Equities.com we take a keen interest in the disparity between what the market experts think will happen with plays, and what is actually playing out. The gulf between the analysts and the retail investors is perhaps most pronounced in the financial sector, where opaqueness can lead the two groups to take diametrically opposed positions on plays, with large groups playing long and short against each other.

As we wind down 2013 we thought it would be interesting to look to see what plays were currently splitting the investment community. That is, what financial stocks maintained high marks from analysts, yet were courting bets against them at exceedingly high rates?

To find these plays, we looked for financial stocks that could answer “yes” to the following questions:

1)      Does the stock currently have a short float of 25 percent or higher?

Plays where over 25 percent of shares are being “shorted” (or bet to fall) can definitely be considered to have an unusually high amount of investors betting against them.

2)      Does the stock currently have an analyst consensus rating of “buy” or better?

There are plenty of stocks out there that both the market and experts agree are no good. There are many that the market is actively shorting, but consensus still leans away from recommending investment. A consensus of “buy” or stringer indicates the majority of firms still believe the stoc will defy the shorters and rise in value.

Incredibly, out of all the financial sector stocks currently trading on NASDAQ or the NYSE we only found five stocks that could answer “yes” top both questions. They are:

AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. (AFSI)

Market-Cap: $3.05 billion

Price:  $41.06

P/E: 11.6

Performance YTD: +59.21

Short Float Percentage: 29.06

 

PacWest Bancorp (PACW)

Market-Cap: $1.87 billion

Price: $42.11

P/E: 27.34

Performance YTD: +75.53

Short Float Percentage: 27.92

 

PHH Corporation (PHH)

Market-Cap: $1.34 billion

Price: $23.35

P/E: 10.81

Performance YTD: +2.64

Short Float Percentage: 31.20

 

Radian Group Inc. (RDN)

Market-Cap: $2.49 billion

Price: $14.50

P/E: N/A

Performance YTD: +137.70

Short Float Percentage:  27.06

 

World Acceptance Corp. (WRLD)

Market-Cap: $1.08 billion

Price: $89.91

P/E: 10.86

Performance YTD: +20.45

Short Float Percentage: 30.11

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of equities.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions.


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Results for AFSI
WKRB News
31 Oct 14 14:39:41
Amtrust Financial Services $AFSI Set to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Tuesday http://t.co/pq4fAwhL38
Graham Jervis
31 Oct 14 13:05:12
AmTrust (AFSI) - KBW Thoughts On The Most Recent Short Report - User 448075 | Seeking Alpha http://t.co/JV0qCTMUvT $AFSI
Adam HTH Hunsaker
31 Oct 14 12:03:01
Fed Report; Solarwinds Soars http://t.co/4OL0YFTw4L #IBDEditorials via @IBDinvestors $SWI $AMGN $SCOR $AFSI $IXIC $GSPC $DJI
Risk Master
31 Oct 14 11:03:37
Is AmTrust $AFSI insolvent? This author seems to think so. http://t.co/RsDETNSabV
3904b15
31 Oct 14 10:31:04
RT @SamAntar: AmTrust Financial Services: A P&C Blow-Up In The Making - Part I - $AFSI | Seeking Alpha http://t.co/RRQCyuH1dv
3904b15
31 Oct 14 10:30:44
RT @QuoththeRavenSA: $AFSI - company broke relationship w/it's sole distributor of its $500M Italian medical malpractice business" on ACRI…
3904b15
31 Oct 14 10:30:34
RT @MarketCurrents: AmTrust to end deal with Italian medical malpractice distributor http://t.co/pKcv3nM9bj $AFSI
3904b15
31 Oct 14 10:30:29
RT @SeekingAlpha: AmTrust Financial Services: A P&C Blow-Up In The Making - Part II http://t.co/5Q0BKLeZV9 $MHLD $NGHC $AFSI
3904b15
31 Oct 14 10:29:43
@gothaminvesting great catch. @TomMasonSNL @max02050 I believe we had some back and forth on $afsi stacking.
Quoth the Raven
31 Oct 14 09:20:21
Given the recent claims about $AFSI, this doesn't seem like good news at all. Is this the beginning of the end? http://t.co/kEnVKuMHEn
GothamInvesting
31 Oct 14 09:15:02
@QuoththeRavenSA $afsi has all the makings of a classic blow-up. This could be (very big) straw that breaks the camel' back.
Auto Binary option
31 Oct 14 09:10:54
RT @MarketCurrents: AmTrust to end deal with Italian medical malpractice distributor http://t.co/pKcv3nM9bj $AFSI
Seeking Alpha
31 Oct 14 09:04:42
AmTrust Financial Services: A P&C Blow-Up In The Making - Part II http://t.co/5Q0BKLeZV9 $MHLD $NGHC $AFSI
MarketCurrents
31 Oct 14 09:04:08
AmTrust to end deal with Italian medical malpractice distributor http://t.co/pKcv3nM9bj $AFSI
The LincolnList
31 Oct 14 09:01:45
$AFSI still going down Chart is killed
Quoth the Raven
31 Oct 14 08:58:49
Big $AFSI news: Italian Trust Risk going after $AFSI for $629M. Is the house of cards about to come down? http://t.co/43rtVS2pd8
max0205
31 Oct 14 08:58:07
RT @QuoththeRavenSA: $AFSI breaks with $500M Italian med. malpractice insurer - here's why it's tanking today. http://t.co/PrT88acs9F http:…
Quoth the Raven
31 Oct 14 08:56:42
$AFSI - company broke relationship w/it's sole distributor of its $500M Italian medical malpractice business" on ACRIMONIOUS circumstances.
Quoth the Raven
31 Oct 14 08:54:59
$AFSI breaks with $500M Italian med. malpractice insurer - here's why it's tanking today. http://t.co/PrT88acs9F http://t.co/tSnxoWLy3Q
Mook Trader
31 Oct 14 08:45:15
$AFSI tanking hard here
Adam Cancryn
31 Oct 14 07:10:18
Also, the anonymous short sellers strike again. The latest @SeekingAlpha report hammering AmTrust: http://t.co/0GMIMKvjDx $AFSI
DailyStockPicks
31 Oct 14 06:18:15
Partner Jet $PJT.V is up 183% this week after Q3 release with more gains coming. Find out why: http://t.co/MEpEjkCm4H $AMTD $AFSI $CAB
Ticker Report
31 Oct 14 05:24:44
Amtrust Financial Services Lowered to “Neutral” at Compass Point $AFSI http://t.co/LpYdukSOsk
iHangout
31 Oct 14 03:09:32
http://t.co/l4qmOlz0qf chartguy89: Stock Charts: AFSI 44.11 Stock Charts $AFSI AmTrust Financial http://t.co/iKDp2v2r7L
iHangout
31 Oct 14 03:01:23
http://t.co/Vv1sYDyeQn chartguy89: Stock Charts: AFSI 44.11 Stock Charts $AFSI AmTrust Financial http://t.co/Ye5jYyaVFE
chartguy89
31 Oct 14 02:53:24
AFSI 44.11 Stock Charts $AFSI AmTrust Financial Services Inc. (NASDAQ) Last Updated: 10/31/2014 04:53:23 AFSI http://t.co/ybAqCkiA4J
HotKeyTrading
31 Oct 14 01:30:03
Downgraded: $EIX $PRXL $MWA $SPW $AZPN $SAIA $INVN $AFSI $CLF $AWI $SRPT $TWTR $WMGI $SM $DSX http://t.co/Vv2VEn80mr #investing #analytics
GothamInvesting
30 Oct 14 19:51:12
@jpkennedysr @3904b15 When $AFSI acquires them, lux captive has no reserve or reins recov (novated prior to close). Cash shell w/ tax liab.
Stock Relay
30 Oct 14 19:37:11
stockblaster14: Stock Alerts: Amtrust Financial Services (AFSI) 44.11 $AFSI http://t.co/RKzLLCZ11o
stockblaster14
30 Oct 14 19:25:31
Amtrust Financial Services (AFSI) 44.11 $AFSI Uptrend Call Working As Amtrust Financial Services Stock Rises 1 http://t.co/18wjepRFPN
Roddy Boyd
30 Oct 14 18:53:55
RT @SamAntar: @QuoththeRavenSA @gothaminvesting One word on $AFSI: Karfunkel! http://t.co/Op1qfYrjps by @BoydRoddy
Sam E. Antar
30 Oct 14 18:49:51
@QuoththeRavenSA @gothaminvesting One word on $AFSI: Karfunkel! http://t.co/Op1qfYrjps by @BoydRoddy
Sam E. Antar
30 Oct 14 18:47:24
AmTrust Financial Services: A P&C Blow-Up In The Making - Part I - $AFSI | Seeking Alpha http://t.co/RRQCyuH1dv
GothamInvesting
30 Oct 14 17:13:19
@jpkennedysr @3904b15 Pt #1: it's equity, not a reserve; Pt #2: u send loss, hits equity, it should hit consolid pnl. Pt #3: Not so at $AFSI
US Banking News
30 Oct 14 15:22:07
Amtrust Financial Services Downgraded by Compass Point to Neutral $AFSI http://t.co/aJMYC7TEpb
HotKeyTrading
30 Oct 14 13:30:04
Downgraded: $EIX $PRXL $MWA $SPW $AZPN $SAIA $INVN $AFSI $CLF $AWI $SRPT $TWTR $WMGI $SM $DSX http://t.co/Vv2VEn80mr #trading #swingtrading
Ticker Report
30 Oct 14 13:29:49
Compass Point Downgrades Amtrust Financial Services to Neutral $AFSI http://t.co/bljJMafGXX
WKRB News
30 Oct 14 12:40:09
Amtrust Financial Services Downgraded by Compass Point $AFSI http://t.co/VqPN66agjf
GothamInvesting
30 Oct 14 12:34:04
@jpkennedysr @3904b15 based on changing story $AFSI CEO is the one confused.
Justin Fuller
30 Oct 14 11:22:17
oh and another reason I like $AFSI = Short % of Float 34.28% As of 10/15/2014
Justin Fuller
30 Oct 14 11:19:59
Started position in $AFSI today - this reminds me so much of what we went through in December. Earnings on Tuesday gonna see what happens
Justin Fuller
30 Oct 14 11:11:11
RT @orrinknox: Didn't this just happen to $AFSI? Almost 100% gain since last winter's unsubstantiated short attack. Will people never learn?
WallStreet
30 Oct 14 09:51:49
$MYE, $AFSI, $BBOX - Market Update: Myers, Inc. (MYE), AmTrust Financial Services Inc (AFSI), Black Box (BBOX) - http://t.co/P4BHREqHCE
Sleek Money
30 Oct 14 09:21:47
Amtrust Financial Services Downgraded to Neutral at Compass Point $AFSI http://t.co/WrmNU267Br
Luckbot
30 Oct 14 07:30:52
bot: opened bull put spread on $AFSI Nov 27.50/40.00 [$3,980 at risk]
WKRB News
30 Oct 14 07:19:56
Amtrust Financial Services Insider Max G. Caviet Sells 6,226 Shares $AFSI http://t.co/xA2GbqyUvw
Livevol Community
30 Oct 14 05:00:10
IV30(TM) GAINER $ARCP +258.75% $GY +65.6% $SAPE +31.95% $MHLD +27.64% $AFSI +23.32% $BMY +21.39% $CJES +20.98% http://t.co/gwzPxhnztr
rocketPower
30 Oct 14 04:40:19
so does anyone think the SA blog on $AFSI is accurate?
GothamInvesting
30 Oct 14 02:35:02
@herbgreenberg @QuoththeRavenSA @max02050 Anyone find it odd $AFSI did not file the entire @NYDFS letter? http://t.co/QdB2ZjYPMj
HotKeyTrading
30 Oct 14 01:30:03
Downgraded: $AZPN $SAIA $INVN $AFSI $CLF $AWI $SRPT $TWTR $WMGI $SM $DSX $WLL $SN $AXAS $COG http://t.co/XQITF0lRKD #stockpicks #trader
				
				
  +Follow December 9, 2013 8:43AM
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