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5 Financial Stocks Investors Hate But Analysts Love

  +Follow December 9, 2013 8:43AM
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Here at Equities.com we take a keen interest in the disparity between what the market experts think will happen with plays, and what is actually playing out. The gulf between the analysts and the retail investors is perhaps most pronounced in the financial sector, where opaqueness can lead the two groups to take diametrically opposed positions on plays, with large groups playing long and short against each other.

As we wind down 2013 we thought it would be interesting to look to see what plays were currently splitting the investment community. That is, what financial stocks maintained high marks from analysts, yet were courting bets against them at exceedingly high rates?

To find these plays, we looked for financial stocks that could answer “yes” to the following questions:

1)      Does the stock currently have a short float of 25 percent or higher?

Plays where over 25 percent of shares are being “shorted” (or bet to fall) can definitely be considered to have an unusually high amount of investors betting against them.

2)      Does the stock currently have an analyst consensus rating of “buy” or better?

There are plenty of stocks out there that both the market and experts agree are no good. There are many that the market is actively shorting, but consensus still leans away from recommending investment. A consensus of “buy” or stringer indicates the majority of firms still believe the stoc will defy the shorters and rise in value.

Incredibly, out of all the financial sector stocks currently trading on NASDAQ or the NYSE we only found five stocks that could answer “yes” top both questions. They are:

AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. (AFSI)

Market-Cap: $3.05 billion

Price:  $41.06

P/E: 11.6

Performance YTD: +59.21

Short Float Percentage: 29.06

 

PacWest Bancorp (PACW)

Market-Cap: $1.87 billion

Price: $42.11

P/E: 27.34

Performance YTD: +75.53

Short Float Percentage: 27.92

 

PHH Corporation (PHH)

Market-Cap: $1.34 billion

Price: $23.35

P/E: 10.81

Performance YTD: +2.64

Short Float Percentage: 31.20

 

Radian Group Inc. (RDN)

Market-Cap: $2.49 billion

Price: $14.50

P/E: N/A

Performance YTD: +137.70

Short Float Percentage:  27.06

 

World Acceptance Corp. (WRLD)

Market-Cap: $1.08 billion

Price: $89.91

P/E: 10.86

Performance YTD: +20.45

Short Float Percentage: 30.11

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of equities.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions.


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Results for AFSI
12Stocks.com
22 Sep 14 08:53:10
Smallcap #Stocks Performance $POL $THS $GPK $AFSI $MTZ $CNC $PSEC $EPR $TCBI $EQY $ISBC $CACC $NYLD more@ http://t.co/Giravo3fg9
Media Sentiment
22 Sep 14 06:44:57
$AFSI received a new alert. Find out why at http://t.co/5udYd0Ofs6 #stocks #daytrading #trading #mkt #NYSE #NASDAQ #markets 207
OptionCast
22 Sep 14 06:38:29
Short Squeeze Alerts $RSH $WUBA $ANFI $ENTA $GPRO $AFSI $BTH $ECPG $CZR http://t.co/vRTWxV5Spu
BV Financials
22 Sep 14 05:08:09
$AFSI AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. to Present at The JMP Securities Financial Services & Real Esta.. http://t.co/Qv96YuK0Xq
finsents
20 Sep 14 04:15:27
$AFSI:US 20Sep Positive News #Sentiment http://t.co/QJOUqhqvpM #NASDAQ
Antonio Costa
19 Sep 14 22:58:58
Bearish Crossover MA20/50 $MU $ARCP $GTAT $HTZ $AGNC $INVN $HST $DDR $PIR $DRE $SFUN $KOG $NOV $ACAS $VTR $EJ $HCT $STWD $GCI $PBF $K $AFSI
BNK Invest
19 Sep 14 13:55:38
$AFSI Crosses Below Key Moving Average Level $KME #dividends http://t.co/aLO4NnhsDf
3904b15
19 Sep 14 13:47:41
@P8N8V8 Need capital buffer to write policies for reg purposes. $Afsi problems masked by growth. Slowing reveals them.
BNK Invest
19 Sep 14 13:17:04
AmTrust Financial Services Becomes Oversold $AFSI $KME #dividends http://t.co/vHNive5rR1
Livevol Community
19 Sep 14 09:54:23
Block Trade: 12:37 $AFSI Oct03(W) 47.5 P (ARCA) 8.45 6233x Today's Full Report: http://t.co/2ThJmtZKxV
Livevol Community
19 Sep 14 09:54:16
Block Trade: 12:37 $AFSI Sep20 47.5 P (ARCA) 7.90 6233x Today's Full Report: http://t.co/2ThJmtZKxV
Daily Contracts
19 Sep 14 08:01:01
Real-Time feed of company contracts, original agreements and executive updates from Amtrust Financial Services $AFSI http://t.co/UIf1WcGIdi
3904b15
18 Sep 14 20:03:09
@jpkennedysr @smokeandfire1 @max02050 @AMBestRatings Also... $afsi 10k contradicts alleged perfect reserving prescience. #liars
3904b15
18 Sep 14 19:55:06
@jpkennedysr @smokeandfire1 @max02050 @AMBestRatings is inevitably late, waits til adv dev. $afsi never has +/- anyone else find strange?
3904b15
18 Sep 14 18:14:04
@jpkennedysr @max02050 @TomMasonSNL @SNLFinancial $180m pref is drop in bucket rel to $afsi growth & Dfs condit req way >180m addl. #trouble
Daily Contracts
18 Sep 14 12:36:15
$AFSI News: Credit Agreement http://t.co/TNpzVRbuBH #creditagreement #delaware
Daily Contracts
18 Sep 14 12:23:01
Real-Time feed of company contracts, original agreements and executive updates from Amtrust Financial Services $AFSI http://t.co/UIf1WcGIdi
3904b15
18 Sep 14 11:06:36
@TomMasonSNL @max02050 @jpkennedysr @SNLFinancial quite the opposite actually. Probably why dfs forcing $afsi to alter their reins structure
Daily Contracts
18 Sep 14 08:16:01
Real-Time feed of company contracts, original agreements and executive updates from Amtrust Financial Services $AFSI http://t.co/UIf1WcGIdi
Shiraz Lakhi
18 Sep 14 08:05:04
Breaking: #Stocks trading UP / ranked by LOWEST PRICE/FREE-CASH-FLOW: $EVER $OZM $NSM $VOYA $AFSI +more (hit "View") http://t.co/G50vdDAYry
3904b15
17 Sep 14 17:09:58
@jpkennedysr @TomMasonSNL @max02050 @SNLFinancial Doubt DFS imposes condition (and gives time to comply) if wasn't a problem for $AFSI.
3904b15
17 Sep 14 16:39:07
@TomMasonSNL @jpkennedysr @max02050 @SNLFinancial Take another look at Sched Y. U have a few more adj to make wrt $AFSI consolid surplus.
Daily Contracts
17 Sep 14 13:54:10
$AFSI News: Certificate Of Designations http://t.co/knbgxy6rPv #delaware #newyork
BV Financials
17 Sep 14 13:19:04
$AFSI Amtrust Financial Services, Inc files Form 8-K (Events or Changes Between Quarterly Reports) SEC.. http://t.co/hyw0ekrSdt
3904b15
17 Sep 14 12:47:50
@jpkennedysr @max02050 @BoydRoddy Be careful relying on others to do ur work for u when structure is as complicated as $afsi.
Daily Contracts
17 Sep 14 10:12:09
$AFSI News: Deposit Agreement http://t.co/MM0NZZZRXu #depositagreement #delaware
3904b15
17 Sep 14 08:29:10
@jpkennedysr @max02050 @BoydRoddy ok so what do u think is $afsi actual surplus?
3904b15
17 Sep 14 05:48:49
@jpkennedysr @max02050 @BoydRoddy Surplus doesn't incl eq adj am best does (for reason). Still waiting on how u get $afsi 1.5b surplus thx
FonsieTrader
17 Sep 14 04:27:17
Moved Lower Bollinger Band 1/3 $ACI $AFL $AFSI $AGCO $AVEO $BOFI $BWC $CLM $CPA $CYT $DLPH $DVAX $FRC $GCA $HIO $ISBC http://t.co/kqAmRIekCi
chartguy89
16 Sep 14 22:38:16
AFSI 40.30 Stock Charts $AFSI AmTrust Financial Services Inc. (NASDAQ) Last Updated: 09/17/2014 00:38:21 AFSI http://t.co/MNDGjaV4TN
3904b15
16 Sep 14 19:48:12
@TomMasonSNL @jpkennedysr @max02050 @SNLFinancial Which subs are removed (and from where) incl $ amts) wrt $AFSI in SNL est consolid?
BNK Invest
16 Sep 14 13:16:05
AmTrust Financial Services $AFSI Passes Through 2% Yield Mark $KME #dividends http://t.co/cL9SvVQJAx
4-traders.com
16 Sep 14 13:10:07
Amtrust Financial Services : Announces Closing of $80 Million in Depositary Shares Representing Interests i... http://t.co/bugTWlIRoA $AFSI
BV Financials
16 Sep 14 13:05:28
$AFSI AmTrust Announces Closing of $80 Million in Depositary Shares Representing Interests in Preferre.. http://t.co/Kb67OTQDY6
Jay Siegel
16 Sep 14 13:01:45
@jpkennedysr @max02050 @BoydRoddy $AFSI acct'g aggr considering rapid growth, entry into niche mkts less knowable.+ "All in the Family" mgmt
Jay Siegel
16 Sep 14 12:59:54
@jpkennedysr @max02050 @BoydRoddy Beyond these capital calculations, $AFSI has done many inter'g things on rt hand side of B/s . at min +
max0205
16 Sep 14 10:33:04
@jpkennedysr would it change your view if a significant amount AII-Bermuda assets were equity investments in other $afsi subs?
max0205
16 Sep 14 10:17:54
@jpkennedysr if I add up all subs on f-67 stat capital at 12/31 = 1.7 billion. why doesn't $afsi disclose consolidated stat capital in 10-K?
NASDAQ
16 Sep 14 09:01:20
$AFSI - Securities Registration (section 12(b)) (8-a12b) http://t.co/kBUcct0PF9
Livevol Community
16 Sep 14 09:00:10
IV30(TM) GAINER $SHLD +18.48% $CBL +16.12% $GTAT +12.63% $SLCA +9.95% $AFSI +8.61% $VHC +5.68% $P +5.51% http://t.co/gwzPxhnztr
4-traders.com
16 Sep 14 09:00:03
AMTRUST FINANCIAL SERVICES : Amendments to Articles of Inc. or Bylaws; Change in Fiscal Year, Other Events ... http://t.co/OYKG3c0QzY $AFSI
BV Financials
16 Sep 14 08:58:15
$AFSI Amtrust Financial Services, Inc files Form 8-K (Events or Changes Between Quarterly Reports) SEC.. http://t.co/qdVNaErORw
InterCooler
16 Sep 14 08:50:33
Amtrust Financial Services SVP Harry Schlachter Unloads 2,100 Shares $AFSI http://t.co/1L07VbHmVK
max0205
16 Sep 14 08:21:15
@jpkennedysr @BoydRoddy do u think these NYDFS conditions affect $afsi roe going forward?
max0205
16 Sep 14 08:15:59
@jpkennedysr @BoydRoddy if you are an investor in $afsi do you think these request are immaterial to your thesis?
max0205
16 Sep 14 07:49:54
@Jay_Siegel_88 @BoydRoddy given structure forcing $afsi to delever & change bermuda capital is strange way of seeing peace
Van Dinh
16 Sep 14 07:48:55
RT @scottsherman: Beginning pos in $LQDT, $AFSI and $VLO. Swings. Also $MCP. I think we may have bottomed. BUT, be very careful. Setting s…
Jay Siegel
16 Sep 14 06:48:34
So looks like $AFSI agreed to things normally taken for granted at insurer(staffing levels; proper credentials) @max02050 @BoydRoddy
max0205
16 Sep 14 06:42:17
peeps who are long $afsi need to read those conditions carefully
max0205
16 Sep 14 06:41:44
i was wondering if $afsi would put out an 8-k on NYDFS decision http://t.co/sIc6H6RqM4
				
				
  +Follow December 9, 2013 8:43AM
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