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It was a historic and very wild week on Wall Street, with record point moves (up and down) almost every day of the week. Typically, massive sell-offs do not recover overnight. Additionally, massive selloffs, followed by record volatility, leads to lower, not higher prices - especially when they occur in aging…
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As the quantifiable metrics of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance of public companies become ever more plentiful, structured, and timely, many investors are asking an important question: “why should I care?” Often, the premise behind this skeptical question is the underlying belief that the increasing focus on ESG is…
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Here's a timely piece on S&P 500 put option prices. The authors find that S&P 500 put options get too expensive during wild times largely due to two specific effects: Demand for insurance skyrockets (investor utility demands safety) Supply for insurance becomes restricted (credit constraints cripple market makers) The lesson…
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Moves across the equity markets these past few days are of historic proportions. I have been a broker for 17 years and even during Sept. 11, 2001 I did not see that type of volatility in stock indices. Enough has been said about this part. What's on the mind of…
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The Greek stock market measured by Athens Stock Exchange General Index (ASE) is now down over 17% for 2015, and over the last 12 months is down over 37%. Many articles discuss the story behind the debt crisis, along with speculations on possible bailouts, long term economic implications and much…
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It’s finally happening. The crash season is upon us. We’ve seen the early signs this week, with leading stocks getting the carpet swept right out from underneath them. China’s stocks are right where they were when its bubble burst 35% into July. UK stocks are in a correction. The DAX…
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There is one thing you can count on with the US stock markets. They go up, then down, then up, and the cycle never stops. We have also seen, at least since 1929, a long-term trend that ultimately makes investing in stocks over an extended period as a better investment…
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My phone’s ringing off the hook. My inbox is flooded. Some people want to know if this market rout is the big one. Others want to cheer us on for sticking to our guns for so long. But everyone has a question: How long will this selloff last? The answer…
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Once again we are seeing the volatility that separates the experienced investors from the novice, and we are seeing the market separate most investors from their discipline. The markets can easily turn from rational to emotional. That is why risk management is (almost) as important as stock selection. I have…
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The breakdown in the popular averages kicked into high-gear this week. Investors were jolted with a three percent decline today – three percent declines, by the way, don’t occur in bull markets – they occur in bear markets. And what we have witnessed is the kickoff move to the downside…
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The sellers are clearly in control, as stocks, currencies and a slew of commodities plunged across the globe last week. The selling finally spilled over to the major US indices, sending them below very important support levels that we have highlighted repeatedly over the past few months (2,040 in the…
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I wanted to respond to questions about an article written a few days ago, titled Equities.com Vigilante — Shorting FANG @ $1 Trillion, where I laid out the rationale for portfolio managers to short the big four social media stocks, and included a tongue in cheek reference to Woody Hayes.…
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