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The S&P 500 has rallied more than 12% in 24 trading sessions. This isn't a terribly rare occurrence. Writing up a quick indicator shows me that there have been 18 observances of rallies traveling more than 10% in any rolling 24 day period. Restricting the filter to 12.5% still provides…
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Each month, Stan Harley publishes The Harley Market Letter, a newsletter that provides advanced technical analysis of stocks, bonds, and precious metals. Below, you'll find key highlights from the most recent Harley Market Letter update. Stalking Pivotal High At 42 trading days (TDs) from the crest of the prior 39.8 TD cycle…
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Knowing what to buy in the stock market is the real key to making money. Knowing when to buy and sell is almost as important. If you are a ”buy and hold” investor, timing matters less- and having patience with your decisions becomes more critical. For everyone else - and…
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Ten years ago, when I worked on the equity index derivatives desk at Lehman, we used to sit around and dream things up. Like, we wondered out loud if you could actually create a volatility ETF. It seemed like a brilliant idea. Who wouldn’t want to buy volatility? There were…
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How often have traders been vexed with the pressing question, “should I follow the news or should I follow the charts?” The answer leaves most traders grasping at straws because neither answer appears to be 100% correct;  the lines are too blurred and the interpretation is too gray. If we…
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I’ve been designing, testing and publishing trading systems since I left the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) more than 15 years ago. I had my first program, DCB-Bonds published in Futures Truth in 1999. This system is still actively traded and bounces in and out of their top…
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The increase in recent market volatility may be a cause of anxiety for long-term investors, but for active day and swing traders, the bigger price moves is a nice stream of opportunities to play on. In our latest interview with Toni Turner of TrendStar Trading Group, we discuss how traders…
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In our earlier articles we’ve focused on how to identify strong intraday and swing trading entries. In this article series, we will look at how to exit trades more carefully, to lock in gains and minimize stops. The good news is that it’s relatively easy to spot when to exit…
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Trading is a funny thing. There are times when the reasoning behind a market’s actions are spot on. There are times when the reasoning turns out to be wrong yet the directional prediction holds fast. Finally, there are times when the reasoning is dead right and the market does the…
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If you've ever told anyone you're a trader, most likely you've been met with two types of responses: a sense of intrigue or skeptical criticism. It happens in virtually all fields that are still publicly misunderstood. But forex trading receives a different kind of backlash that can and does affect…
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When you enter the Forex trading ring it is very similar to entering the sparring ring in martial arts and Forex trading both deal with technique. A trader may not see themselves as combative or aggressively fighting their way to victory, but there are lessons in martial arts that can…
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The weekly Commitment of Traders report published by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission tracks the markets’ players of consequence. The report breaks down the actions of the commodity index funds, managed money, small speculators and finally, the commercial traders. For the purpose of this article, we’ll focus on the commercial…
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