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The trader’s main working tool is the chart or graph. A chart’s function is to present stock price history and indicate its future direction via conclusions based on the past: a kind of financial crystal ball where there is no present, and only the past exists. A nanosecond beforehand is…
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NASDAQ High Imminent The NASDAQ Composite chart above depicts a cyclical pattern that is worthy of examination. I have included the MACD (12,26,9) plot below for added clarity in depicting my cyclical turns. Note how the cyclical turns coincide with pivotal reversals in the MACD indicator. Note, too, the average…
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Barron’s recently ran an article titled “Get Smart About Picking Dividend-Rich Stocks,” highlighting that high-quality high-dividend-paying stocks outperform low-quality high-dividend-paying stocks. The quality of the firm is measured by profitability, financial distress and accounting red flags. Investigating a Simpler Way to Identify Top-Performing Dividend Stocks Let's start by sorting the high dividend-paying firms by a simple value investing measure–EBIT/TEV.…
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Is technical analysis an art or an exact science? I think the truth is somewhere in the middle. Senior analysts in Tradenet’s trading room often ask me whether it’s worth buying this or that stock, and my answer could very well be that it’s actually worth selling the stock. If…
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This has been the most-scorned, the most mistrusted bull market in history. Why? Probably because most investors do not believe it’s real. Conventional wisdom has it that this mother-of-all bull markets has been the byproduct of overly inflated, non-nonsensical monetary policy actions rather than the result of fundamental economic growth…
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Slowly Rolling Over Little by little, the rollover is commencing. Just as the top took considerable time to form, the rollover process, too, is slow to take form. But my indicators that measure both price range as well as price velocity across a multitude of time frames are heading southbound.…
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Clearly, we hit a hot spot with last week's piece. So much so, that I kept digging. I came up with more questions than answers but in asking those questions I came up with some data points and open ended questions worth pondering. We'll look at the push and pull…
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The soybean forecasts this year should set another global production record. This comes on the heels of last year's record harvest which has left many of the domestic bins full. Obviously, supplies have pushed this market justifiably lower since last year's domestic harvest numbers were confirmed. This leaves soybeans in…
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Are Market Highs Behind Us? Admittedly guilty of heralding a number of prior false positives, I nevertheless contend that we are on the cusp of a significant stock market high. Indeed, I believe there is a very good chance we may be looking at a completed top in the rear…
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Before deciding to buy a single stock, an investor should always ask: "How risky is this investment?" However, many investors tend to get caught up in the story about why company XYZ is going to double over the next year. As an educated investor, it makes sense to know the odds…
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The long-standing debate between fundamental and technical analysis began when the first analyst drew a line between two points representing a stock’s price changes over the axis of time, thereby creating the very first price graph.  The essence of the dispute is whether to buy a stock based on company…
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In our first ‘Acceleration Breakouts” article last month, we looked at how this pattern works for stock and ETF swing trades. In this article, we’ll focus on a strong combination pattern, in which an acceleration ramp is followed by an in-trend gap. Acceleration Breakouts with Gap Continuations When the slope…
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