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Every one of the major U.S. stock indices has sold off more than 10% in the last week. This will finally put an end to the, "But the market is due for a 10% correction" argument. I began trading in the S&P 500 pit in the early 1990's. Therefore, it…
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The breakdown in the popular averages kicked into high-gear this week. Investors were jolted with a three percent decline today – three percent declines, by the way, don’t occur in bull markets – they occur in bear markets. And what we have witnessed is the kickoff move to the downside…
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Using time and sales to enter and exit momentum day trades is an effective tool that professional traders rely upon to help manage their trades. In our earlier 2012 tape reading article, we looked at top entry signals. In this article you’ll learn how to combine tape reading with whole-number…
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Obviously, China has dominated the news this week. There has been rampant speculation regarding the, “first roach” philosophy which suggests there’s much more to come in the way of Chinese Yuan/Renmimbi devaluation. I’m not very good at projecting political developments along an investment front. However, I do know enough to…
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We are – in all likelihood – looking at the highs for the broad-market indices in the rear view mirror: Dow Transports 28-Nov-14; Dow Industrials 19-May-15; S&P 500 20-May-15; NYA 21-May-15;  NASDAQ Comp 20-Jul-15. The eight month swath of time it has taken to complete this broadening top formation is…
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Traders and commentators often use the phrase, "Dog days of August" to describe market action. Unfortunately, the general public seems to view this as a statement of late summer weakness, rather than as the low volume, stagnant, range trading action that it actually means. The S&P 500 has been in…
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October lean hog futures’ attempt to rally over the last couple of weeks has run out of gas. Their turning point coincided nicely with technical, seasonal and fundamental resistance. Lets take a look at the combination of factors that could continue to drive this market lower through early September. Beginning…
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In 1838, James Grant published The Great Metroplis, Volume 2. Within, he spoke of David Ricardo, an English political economist that was active in the London markets in the late 1700s and early 1800s. Ricardo amassed a large fortune trading both bonds and stocks. According to Grant, Ricardo’s success was…
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Profitable Growth is what matters In April I blogged about EPS Growth, and followed this with a post about profitability (Replace “E” with “A” to Truly Understand Business Profitability). Today, I focus on a combination of these profitability and growth measures, which I call “Profitable Growth” Profitability: It’s about how…
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Book-to-Market Equity, Distress Risk, and Stock Returns, by Griffin and Lemmon (2002 Journal of Finance) investigates the relationship between value premiums and distress risk. There are two schools of thought on the value premium (the large spread in realized returns between cheap stocks and expensive stocks). On the one hand, there is…
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I believe that as of late, the Russell 2000 index and it's future contract, the mini Russell 2000 are the leaders in stock market behavior. With the recent sell off in equities, the big drop in China's index, and the 4% drop in the Nikkei this morning, I wanted to…
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The Japanese candlestick method is retro and amazing, and started in…the 18th century! The method was developed by Munehisa Homma, a Japanese rice trader (1724-1803) who was one of the first to make use of past rice prices to predict future prices. And the method really worked! Munehisa became very…
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