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50 Moving Averages Testing Support Since topping-out on December 5, the popular averages have begun to cascade down in pristine fashion. The DJIA, the DJTA, the S&P 500, the NYA, the RUT, the NAZ Comp – no component of the Big Six has been immune.  This has been a broad-based…
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When it comes to carefully finding the strongest breakout signals, it’s important to use increasing volume in an uptrend as a confirming technical entry pattern. The author’s new “3-Bar Volume Breakout” strategy helps traders identify increasing-volume breakouts in strong uptrends. 3-Bar Volume Breakouts Defined On a 90-day daily candlestick chart,…
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Twenty years from the December 1994 bottom. 40 years from the December 1974 bottom. The selloff I’ve been anticipating has begun in earnest. On December 5th, we saw the Dow Jones Industrials and S&P 500 push to new, all time highs – the last two among what I often refer…
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Many great investors (and even some of you reading this right now) have mastered the technical analysis of the Forex market, but ultimately, they keep losing money in their trades. You heard right. They are technically correct in their positions, but they consistently lose trades and money -- sometimes more…
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A Complex and Evolving Top This has been a complex, evolving top that has spanned several months in its formation. Tops in the stock market tend to be rounding evolutions; bottoms tend to be spike-type events. The geometry of the evolving top in this stock market has been on-going since early July.…
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Marking Time… I remain resolute in my view that a market top is imminent – although pinning it down to the day has certainly been a challenging endeavor. It’s an iterative process… There is the possibility we might have as much as another four trading days of modest buoyancy for…
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Each week, we tap the insight of Sam Stovall, Chief Equity Strategist for S&P Capital IQ, for his perspective on the current market. EQ: The retail sales during the Black Friday and Cyber Monday periods disappointed expectations, which were optimistic because forecasts factored in lower gas prices as a driver…
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More specifically, this piece should be titled, "Diminishing Effects of Global Quantitative Easing in a Long-Only Portfolio," but that seemed a little long. Have we returned to an era where bad economic news guarantees the action of sovereign nations to prop their markets up? Does bad news make front running…
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DJIA the Final Index to Top-Out Yesterday we saw the Dow Jones Industrials push into record high territory. But the lone bird blue chip index was unaccompanied by the other members of the Big Six: S&P 500, Dow Transports, New York Composite, NASDAQ Composite, the Russell 2000.  Tuesday’s 52 week…
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With the massive bull run, mostly fueled by the artifical injection of money known as Quantitative Easing (QE), our stock market, as well as most global indices, enjoyed an amazing run up for the past few years, disturbed only by very few and minor corrections. I think that the NASDAQ…
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A challenging call here to be sure – but I would suggest it is indeed very possible we may have just seen my expected high. On November 28, we saw the Dow Jones Industrials, the Dow Jones Transports, and the S&P 500 push into intraday record high territory. The NASDAQ…
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SELL STOCKS NOW I continue with my theme that the stock market is on the march toward a rendezvous with a major top in the present time frame. There are many factors that go into this decision. Numerous time cycles – not the least of which is a 79.6 month…
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