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My father was fiercely religious, but he only went to church twice a year: Christmas and Easter. It wasn’t that he lacked faith; there was just too much farm work to feed his family of five. My father wore dungarees and threadbare flannel shirts 363 out of the 365 days…
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I recently read a poll that found many US-based investors who had a stock portfolio of $100k or more had zero idea how to short a stock, or how shorting a stock would affect their portfolio, for that matter. So let's walk through a simple explanation of how to short…
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The soybean forecasts this year should set another global production record. This comes on the heels of last year's record harvest which has left many of the domestic bins full. Obviously, supplies have pushed this market justifiably lower since last year's domestic harvest numbers were confirmed. This leaves soybeans in…
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If you are going to call yourself Code Rebel (CDRB), it is clear you intend to act outside the norm, and rather than make a splash on your IPO day, you quietly introduce your company, raise a small amount of money, base your operation on an island, do not talk…
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I was a “smart kid” growing up. I got used to being the smartest in the class, every year; I also got used to being left out socially and being bullied a bit. It wasn’t bad, though. In 9th grade, I transformed from a little pork chop into a tall,…
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Few investors know that if you are short a stock, the objective is to never cover the short because you have a capital gain event at the time you cover. In fact, most portfolio managers would prefer to have the company just to go zero, de-list and go out of…
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For years we have forecasted bubble after bubble, and many of them have burst right along with our predictions. But the one bubble that just won't seem to burst is the one happening right now. When it finally pops, it won't sound like a balloon — it'll go off like…
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The past few years have been pretty good for US stock markets. Since 2008, stocks have been rising on a regular basis, making up for plenty of ground lost in the economic meltdown - in the US, at least. In times like these, it’s easy to get comfortable and begin…
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Making a living requires an advantage. Do you have some kind of advantage in your profession? Of course you do! If you had no advantage to offer, your client would go to your competitor. As with every profession, the same is true for stock traders - for success in the…
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Only fifteen years ago, I was still a diligent hi-tech employee with no clue about the markets. All I knew was that loads of money shifted there, and I was determined to get my hands on some of it. My first problem, which everyone wishing to succeed must face, was:…
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Is crude oil currently oversold, or headed as low as $32.50? The answer could be yes to both, depending on the time frame one looks at. The selloff in crude oil has been sharp, fast and powerful. Six months ago we were trading at $107! This week's low was $53.50…
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The shares of Conn’s, Inc. (CONN) , are a “Perfect Short”. With the reporting of its most recent disappointing quarter and the resulting 50% decline of its share price and market cap during the week of December 8th, Conn’s meets all of the requirements as outlined in my Perfect Short…
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