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When Gary Shilling was with us here last fall, he and I were feeling considerably more sanguine about the near-term propects for the US and global economies. In fact, I said about Gary that “that old confirmed bear is waxing positively bullish about the future prospects of the US. In…
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As previously noted, there are a growing number of very smart investors and strategists who have made negative comments about the stock market in recent months. James Montier, Seth Klarman, Carl Icahn and a host of other very smart investors have pointed out that the market is on the high…
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The restaurant group Yum! Brands (YUM) reported earnings on Tuesday, which beat analyst expectations, even though revenue numbers fell short. Yum reported fourth-quarter earnings of $0.86 cents per share on sales of $4.2 billion, an improvement over estimates of $0.80 per share on sales of $4.26 billion. Despite the revenue…
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Piloting on the Mississippi River was not work to me; it was play — delightful play, vigorous play, adventurous play – and I loved it… – Mark Twain In the 1850s, flat-bottom paddlewheel steamboats coursed up and down the mighty Mississippi, opening up the Midwest to trade and travel. But…
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Nothing is quite as confounding when doing a fundamental stock analysis, than discovering a possibly inflated or grossly exaggerated goodwill value on the corporate balance sheet. Sometimes it appears that goodwill is just an arbitrary number, plugged in to the balance sheet to put everything in a better light. Sometimes…
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NOTE:  I have added stocks to a new “technical analysis”alert list (See below)  Let’s get ready for a week of distraction, shopping, visits, driving, flying, parties, liquid lunches, festivities.  BUT, if you think for a moment, those stocks you plan to buy sitting there at a juicy price waiting for…
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  In today's Outside the Box, my friend John Hussman of Hussman Strategic Advisors addresses the members of the Federal Open Market Committee, the Federal Reserve committee that makes decisions about interest rates and national monetary policy. The Fed has been notoriously clueless about bubbles, particularly in the run-up to…
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Growth At a Reasonable Price - that's the simple plan behind the acronym. And a solid one, if truth be told. Growth investing, in which one targets companies with earnings that are growing faster than those of the market, and value investing, in which one seeks out companies that are…
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S&P Capital IQ Trends & Ideas: Equity Analyst Christin Armacost joins Isabelle Sender, S&P Capital IQ Editorial, to discuss chipmakers behind cool and innovative wearable-tech devices. To read this and all Trends & Ideas content, please visit www.marketscope.com.  
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Back in 2000, an associate professor at the University of Chicago, Joseph Piotroski, wrote a paper titled Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers. Piotroski developed a system of ranking stocks based on nine items from the financial statements that has become a powerful…
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No wonder investors don't take economists seriously. Or if they do, they shouldn't. Since Richard Nixon interrupted Hoss and Little Joe on a Sunday night in August 1971, it's been one boom and bust after another. But don't tell that to the latest Nobel Prize co-winner, Eugene Fama, the founder…
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In today’s Outside the Box, Sheraz Mian, Director of Research for Zacks Investment Research, gives us an overview of corporate earnings trends for the past several quarters and consensus expectations going forward, and asks, “How realistic are these expectations?” Not very, he says, and tells us why. This is the…
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