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The current market volatility is causing a lot of stress...and justifiably so. After all, nobody wants to see their hard-earned wealth get vaporized. But how does increased stress affect decision-making? A recent paper published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences highlights an interesting finding: Humans don’t have stable risk preferences–stress makes us…
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The tail of a Japanese Candlestick, also known as the shadow, indicates a change in the power balance between buyers and sellers. To understand how the tail is formed, let’s look at the chart below, showing a day of Apple, Inc. ($AAPL) intraday behavior. AAPL Fifteen-Minute Candles Based on its…
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One of the most brilliant investors in the world just made a stunning call… Ray Dalio is the founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund. Dalio manages nearly $170 billion in assets. He has one of the best investing track records in the business. When he speaks, we…
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Narrow Range Candle The narrow range candle shows a relatively short distance between the opening and closing price. But relative compared to what? To the common behavior of the stock being examined. Every stock has its own “personality,” and a candle can only be defined as short (narrow) or long…
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High and Low Points High and low points can serve as areas of support and resistance, both on intraday charts and daily charts. High – Turning into Resistance Why does a high [1] create resistance when the price returns to the same [2] point?  To understand this, we need to…
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Well-regarded stock market technician of the 1950s-1970s Edson Gould’s (1902-1987) “three-steps-and-a-stumble” rule is on the minds of investors as we draw closer to the first Fed rate rise since June, 2006.  Gould’s dictum has held up tolerably well since it was coined: it states that bull markets are derailed after…
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In general, investors focused on affordable stocks with strong fundamentals have been taken to the cleaners year-to-date. Meanwhile, expensive stocks with poor fundamentals have been rocking! Some Basic Statistics: Below, we  document some core performance figures using Ken French’s data on value/growth portfolios (proxy for cheap/expensive) and high profitability/low profitability portfolios (proxy for high quality/low quality).…
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As we dive further into the twenty-first century, many fantasy and futurist ideas from the past have slowly become a reality: watches double as phones, robots can clean our homes, and even though they can't fly yet, our cars can greet us and give directions. Many people believe that the…
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Earnings season has evolved in a post Sarbanes-Oxley era into two distinct categories: Category #1: "Everyone is watching me on the 90-day clock." Category #2: "I know I can tweak the sales channel to delay earnings for a future reporting quarter." As we roll into the summer 2015 earnings season,…
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Recently we wrote of a potential way to time the market using valuation-based signals. In the past, we have also examined how to use momentum-based signals (moving average rules and time-series momentum) to time the market. A natural question then becomes: what happens when we combine the valuation-based signals with the momentum-based signals?…
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It’s no secret that Under Armour (UA) has picked some winners in the past, but 2015 has been a particularly huge year for the active wear apparel brand. Jordan Spieth has won The Masters and the US Open Championship this year. Stephen Curry not only won the MVP Award, but…
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The Equities.com Research Team took on the biggest dog in the bunch this time around, looking at the most valuable company in the world and determining whether Apple’s (AAPL) is really all it’s cracked up to be. We talked with Equities.com's Head of Quantitative Research Nicholas Bhandari about the results…
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