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Bonds had quite a ride last week. European bond yields, in particular, lifted off from their all-time lows; but the move's speed and magnitude surprised investors.  French and German Bond Yields Rocket Off Their Lows  Source: Bloomberg    As readers are aware, the values of bonds move inversely to their…
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As a tactical asset management firm, we seek to offer a full range of downside risk managed investment strategies, covering all parts of an investor's portfolio. We believe that controlling drawdown and smoothing volatility is a critical objective, as periods of capital loss often coincide with the need for liquidity…
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I was a halfway decent skier when I was a kid. Good enough that I could navigate every trail on the mountain except for one or two. Good enough that I could do the double black diamonds. My grandfather built a cabin on the access road to Sugarbush, Vermont, in…
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By now, you’ve probably heard that interest rates will rise sometime this year, with the only unknown being “which month?” Usually, such news is accompanied by advice from market pundits saying that high-dividend stocks such as utilities would lose value when interest rates rise. Since I’m the proprietor of the…
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We've been watching the Bond markets closely over the last few weeks. We were ahead of the curve in our discussion of negative interest rates among G7 countries and had already issued trade alerts within this segment prior to Bill Gross' announcement of the German Bund being, "the short of…
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Investors are so used to trading ETFs that they seldom ask themselves questions about how those ETFs are constructed. In the event of major market disruptions, though, that could prove problematic -- with potentially troublesome consequences for investors. A share of an ETF is a slice of the fund’s holdings. Those…
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We received a request to discuss our view on U.S. REITs, so we thought we would dedicate this week’s commentary to that very topic. Now, before we start, it should be said that as a rules-based, quantitative firm, our individual views as portfolio managers are trumped by what our models…
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Are you ready for $74 per barrel oil? In this interview with The Energy Report, RBC's John Ragozzino tells us he's anticipating a V-shaped oil price recovery that could bode well for upstream master limited partnerships, the companies that invest in oil and gas assets and have been hit hard…
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In the early 1990s I was a young bond trader with a Wall Street firm. The business was not exactly like the movies, but it wasn’t too far off, either. We got to work by 7:00 a.m., set the strategy for the day — “Are we buying more or selling…
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Here are some headlines from this week's reading. World Braces for Taper Tantrum II Even as Yellen Soothes Nerves Swiss, Mexican Bond Deals Represent Milestones for Debt Bill Gross: German bunds are 'the short of a lifetime' The general gist of these headlines is twofold. Janet Yellen and the U.S.…
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You’re likely thinking that a discussion of “sound banking” will be a bit boring. Well, banking should be boring. And we’re sure officials at central banks all over the world today—many of whom have trouble sleeping—wish it were. This brief article will explain why the world’s banking system is unsound,…
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I think it was almost two years ago that I was in Cyprus. Cyprus had just come through its crisis and was still in shell shock. I was there to get a feel for what it was like, and a number of my readers had courteously arranged for me to…
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