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2006. The last time the Federal Reserve raised interest rates was way back in June of 2006. Moreover, the Fed has kept interest rates near 0% since 2008. But after the June 17 FOMC meeting, just about everybody—and I mean everybody—is assuming that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates…
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REITs are a popular choice for investors seeking a steady income stream. However, most REITs operate in slow growth business sectors such as shopping centers and commercial office buildings. By contrast, Crown Castle International (CCI) owns and operates cell phone towers and other equipment for handling cell phone communications. Spurred…
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Barron’s recently ran an article titled “Get Smart About Picking Dividend-Rich Stocks,” highlighting that high-quality high-dividend-paying stocks outperform low-quality high-dividend-paying stocks. The quality of the firm is measured by profitability, financial distress and accounting red flags. Investigating a Simpler Way to Identify Top-Performing Dividend Stocks Let's start by sorting the high dividend-paying firms by a simple value investing measure–EBIT/TEV.…
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The Federal Reserve is likely to raise interest rates in September. However, whether it does or not, longer-term rates will rise over the next few months. The Fed does not have control over long-term rates; they have only been able to control short-term rates with the QE program. Long-term rates…
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Each week, we tap the insight of Sam Stovall, Chief Equity Strategist for S&P Capital IQ, for his perspective on the current market.  EQ: Stocks shot up on Wednesday with the cause attributed to Germany possibly extending a lifeline to Greece. Is the market jumping on any news right now…
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Bonds had quite a ride last week. European bond yields, in particular, lifted off from their all-time lows; but the move's speed and magnitude surprised investors.  French and German Bond Yields Rocket Off Their Lows  Source: Bloomberg    As readers are aware, the values of bonds move inversely to their…
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As a tactical asset management firm, we seek to offer a full range of downside risk managed investment strategies, covering all parts of an investor's portfolio. We believe that controlling drawdown and smoothing volatility is a critical objective, as periods of capital loss often coincide with the need for liquidity…
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I was a halfway decent skier when I was a kid. Good enough that I could navigate every trail on the mountain except for one or two. Good enough that I could do the double black diamonds. My grandfather built a cabin on the access road to Sugarbush, Vermont, in…
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By now, you’ve probably heard that interest rates will rise sometime this year, with the only unknown being “which month?” Usually, such news is accompanied by advice from market pundits saying that high-dividend stocks such as utilities would lose value when interest rates rise. Since I’m the proprietor of the…
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We've been watching the Bond markets closely over the last few weeks. We were ahead of the curve in our discussion of negative interest rates among G7 countries and had already issued trade alerts within this segment prior to Bill Gross' announcement of the German Bund being, "the short of…
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Investors are so used to trading ETFs that they seldom ask themselves questions about how those ETFs are constructed. In the event of major market disruptions, though, that could prove problematic -- with potentially troublesome consequences for investors. A share of an ETF is a slice of the fund’s holdings. Those…
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We received a request to discuss our view on U.S. REITs, so we thought we would dedicate this week’s commentary to that very topic. Now, before we start, it should be said that as a rules-based, quantitative firm, our individual views as portfolio managers are trumped by what our models…
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