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In 2002, addressing Nobel Prize-winning economist Milton Friedman on his 90th birthday, former Fed chair Ben Bernanke acknowledged the role of the Federal Reserve in worsening the financial crisis of the Great Depression rather than helping it. He said, “You’re right, we did it. We’re very sorry. But thanks to…
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This week will be a short myopic view of the internal workings of the interest rate futures market sector focusing on a potential short selling opportunity in the 10-year Treasury Note futures. The setup for the trade begins with the yield rally from April - May. We'll pick it up…
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In today’s Outside the Box, my good friend Lacy Hunt of Hoisington Investment Management reminds us that since the 1990-91 recession, the 30-year Treasury bond yield has dropped from 9% to 3%, a downward move nearly identical to the decline in the rate of inflation, which fell from just over…
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On September 10, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) will pay its regular $0.31 per share quarterly dividend. But did you know that you’d only have to hold Microsoft shares for one day, August 17, to collect that payout? That is, you could buy shares on August 17, sell them on August 18,…
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  Anthony Danaher The first six months of 2015 are in the books, and investors don’t really have much to show for it. Stocks are more or less trading at where they started the year, albeit with quite a bumpy ride in between, and other major asset classes have not…
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2006. The last time the Federal Reserve raised interest rates was way back in June of 2006. Moreover, the Fed has kept interest rates near 0% since 2008. But after the June 17 FOMC meeting, just about everybody—and I mean everybody—is assuming that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates…
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REITs are a popular choice for investors seeking a steady income stream. However, most REITs operate in slow growth business sectors such as shopping centers and commercial office buildings. By contrast, Crown Castle International (CCI) owns and operates cell phone towers and other equipment for handling cell phone communications. Spurred…
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Barron’s recently ran an article titled “Get Smart About Picking Dividend-Rich Stocks,” highlighting that high-quality high-dividend-paying stocks outperform low-quality high-dividend-paying stocks. The quality of the firm is measured by profitability, financial distress and accounting red flags. Investigating a Simpler Way to Identify Top-Performing Dividend Stocks Let's start by sorting the high dividend-paying firms by a simple value investing measure–EBIT/TEV.…
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The Federal Reserve is likely to raise interest rates in September. However, whether it does or not, longer-term rates will rise over the next few months. The Fed does not have control over long-term rates; they have only been able to control short-term rates with the QE program. Long-term rates…
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Each week, we tap the insight of Sam Stovall, Chief Equity Strategist for S&P Capital IQ, for his perspective on the current market.  EQ: Stocks shot up on Wednesday with the cause attributed to Germany possibly extending a lifeline to Greece. Is the market jumping on any news right now…
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Bonds had quite a ride last week. European bond yields, in particular, lifted off from their all-time lows; but the move's speed and magnitude surprised investors.  French and German Bond Yields Rocket Off Their Lows  Source: Bloomberg    As readers are aware, the values of bonds move inversely to their…
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As a tactical asset management firm, we seek to offer a full range of downside risk managed investment strategies, covering all parts of an investor's portfolio. We believe that controlling drawdown and smoothing volatility is a critical objective, as periods of capital loss often coincide with the need for liquidity…
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