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Recently we wrote of a potential way to time the market using valuation-based signals. In the past, we have also examined how to use momentum-based signals (moving average rules and time-series momentum) to time the market. A natural question then becomes: what happens when we combine the valuation-based signals with the momentum-based signals?…
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Book-to-Market Equity, Distress Risk, and Stock Returns, by Griffin and Lemmon (2002 Journal of Finance) investigates the relationship between value premiums and distress risk. There are two schools of thought on the value premium (the large spread in realized returns between cheap stocks and expensive stocks). On the one hand, there is…
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The world of finance is liberally peppered with gurus. Jim Rogers is one example – he believed with all his heart that China was the next big thing, to the point that he moved to Singapore and his little daughter learned to speak fluent Mandarin, leaving Chinese listeners dumbfounded. And…
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The thing I learned from a mentor about doing equity research was to pick a few sectors and become an expert. That’s why I try not to pick too many wide ranging fields that I don't understand, forcing me to cut a broad swath. It's too much work, which is…
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Whether you’re a seasoned investor or you’ve just started to dip your toes in the real estate investing waters, it’s important to understand the value that comes from diversifying your portfolio. Any investment strategist will tell you that by allocating investments among various opportunities, investors reduce the amount of risk…
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Before deciding to buy a single stock, an investor should always ask: "How risky is this investment?" However, many investors tend to get caught up in the story about why company XYZ is going to double over the next year. As an educated investor, it makes sense to know the odds…
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Building wealth in the stock market is all about making regular periodic investments and reinvesting rather than spending the profits. Here’s how that works: Say you start with nothing, but decide to put $500 of your income into an investment account every month, and you don’t take anything out until…
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Tape reading is one of the long lost arts of trading, yet it is one of the most powerful tools that traders have at their disposal. Tape reading started when traders literally read stock ticker tapes to gain insight into patterns and market psychology that could not be gleaned from…
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Stock trading is not an exact science. If it were, it would be handled by accountants. No method is complete in and of itself. Even if you learn a 300-page manual on technical analysis by heart, I can assure you that you'll still lose money. The winning recipe is a…
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Today I decided to touch on a subject that is not market specific or a market outlook but rather a trading technique I found to suit my "trading blood type." In the trading world, there are many ways to make and lose money. Some traders like options, others like to…
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Tactical Asset Allocation and Intuition Often, “intuitive” concepts don’t actually work in practice. In fact, in my experience, the more intuitive the concept, and the “easier” it is to implement, the less likely it is that it actually works. A few common examples that come to mind: Buying high quality dividend…
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Each day, the stock market has many different moving parts that combine to create potential opportunities for day trading. Earnings releases, analyst upgrades or downgrades, geopolitical occurrences or news of public opinion, rate announcements or other monthly/weekly news events drive price before, during and in the afterhours of every trading…
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