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In a recent update, I gave six signs of an impending crash. Just yesterday, a number of those signs started to hit. Despite a $486 billion fund to prop up its market, China’s stocks sunk another 8.5% on Tuesday – the biggest one-day drop since 2007. This is following a 35% crash into…
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Stocks rallied nicely last week, helping the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 breakout of its year-long range and hit a fresh 15-year high. The market was able to breathe a collective sigh of relief when the two big threats (Greece and China) were temporarily resolved. Stocks rallied after it became clear that Greece…
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As the Greek bailout marches on, no one that matters dares ask the pertinent question: How can Greece pay back over €400 billion, when they could not pay back either of the last two bailouts? Borrowing from Peter to Pay Paulopolis We supposedly have seen progress. After all, Greece will…
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If you’re following the Greek Financial Crisis, you know that negotiations are on the table. In order to remain in the EU, Greece is going to have to adjust pensions and raise taxes. In return, they’ll get $94 Billion in bailout funding, enough to allow Greece to open up the…
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We spent about a week on the Greek non-crisis, and nothing especially scary happened. Stocks opened up lower a couple of times, and there was one wild trading day in EURUSD, but everything is essentially unchanged. Which surprised everyone. Including me, a little. I used to be a plunger. Loved…
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Today, the IMF and other Eurozone leaders announced they had reached a deal with Greece that allowed the country to stay in the Eurozone. Ironically, Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras agreed to conditions put forth by European leaders that his voters firmly rejected in a referendum last week. So while Tsipras…
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After all was said and done, stocks closed higher last week as optimism grew that a deal would be done in Greece. As mentioned in prior weeks, the "big" story here is not just Greece - it is the precedent that will be set and the broader ramifications for the…
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Breaking: Time Machine Appears in Brussels  Via the magic of time machines, it appears that midnight three weeks ago has still not arrived! I say that because the midnight hour for a Greek deal came and went weeks ago. Yet, this evening, The New York Times says "Greece Submits 11th-Hour Bailout…
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When planes crash, all investigators note the succession of events that led to the crash. In most cases they learn the that crash occurred due to an unlikely series of unexpected events, followed by pilot error causing the eventual demise. Yesterday’s stock market similarly had a series of events which…
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The current bursting of China’s equity bubble is almost taking focus from Greece’s literal position on the edge of Europe. Shanghai listed equities, now -30%, are well into bear market territory (>20% fall) having turned on a sixpence from their mid-June peak and with massive regulatory intervention (stinking of desperation) failing miserably to…
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For the unprepared, it happens like a mugging… When you hear a central banker or politician deny that something is going to happen to bank depositors, you can almost be certain that it will happen. And probably soon. Coming from a government official, the real meaning of “No, of course…
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I have a sister who is two years older than me. We fought from time to time growing up. I distinctly remember this one time when I was 11 and our dad forced us to make up by putting our arms around each other’s shoulders. I don’t remember what the…
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