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Recent data from the Bank of Greece for March shows net Target2 liability for Greece increased by another €5.27 billion in March to €96.427 billion.  What does Target2 represent? Target 2 is an indicator of capital flight from Greece.  Data for the chart is from Eurocrisis Monitor, with my update reflecting the latest…
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As Friday morning proved, when Bloomberg terminals go down, the trading world stops dead in its tracks. In this case, it was an internal "network issue" according to the company, which is settling news to markets overall because a hack for these 300,000 work stations used mainly by professionals would…
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In Code Red I wrote a great deal about trade imbalances among the various European countries, which were at the heart of the European sovereign debt problem. As the peripheral countries have tried to rebalance their trade deficits with Northern Europe and especially with Germany, they have seen their relative…
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The Greek drama continues to unfold. Greece has just made a €450 million payment to the International Monetary Fund, and although Greek finance minister Yanis Varoufakis has made assurances that Greece will honor all obligations to its creditors, fear continues to mount as we reach yet another “critical moment” (one…
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European measures of business sentiment from and consumer confidence from the European Commission are up in the last week. European QE is ongoing, and we note that European stocks are reacting positively to European sentiment. In spite of the Greek issue, the stocks on the continent are doing nicely. Fed…
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Some things never change. Here is Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk, one of the founding intellectuals of the Austrian school of economics, writing in January 1914, lambasting politicians for their complicity in the corruption of monetary policy: We have seen innumerable variations of the vexing game of trying to generate political contentment…
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European QE is off and running. However, one question is: will the European Central Bank (ECB) be able to find enough bonds to buy?  It may seem like a strange question from the perspective of the U.S. QE experience, but U.S. QE was carried out at a time when the…
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Negative yielding bonds now comprise over 25% of the Eurozone’s $8 trillion of tradable sovereign debt according to JP Morgan Chase (JPM) , up from only $20 billion 12 months ago and rising. The threat of regional deflation looms large, increasing the demand for safer fixed income, while investors are positioning themselves…
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Central banks continue to be investors’ friends, although not everywhere. We see bull markets in the U.S., where the Fed is still dovish, and is likely to remain so for much of this year, if not longer; in Europe, which is launching QE and has seen some relief of anxiety…
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Euro QE is set to start in March. So it’s off to the races for European stocks, right? Well, maybe not just yet. Market nerves have been frayed this year for two main near-term reasons. First is the uncertainty surrounding the fate of Greece after its election of a radical…
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Greece has been in the news of late. Again. Actually, at this point, it’s probably more meaningful to identify the periods in the last four years that Greece wasn’t in the news. For being the cradle of European civilization, the Greeks sure seem to be having a lot of trouble…
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Prior to the euro, you had currency row at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. There, during a daily walk down the floor at the CME you could walk past the octagon trading pits, which were side by side. They were positioned this way, so it was easy for those who were…
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