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Last year, while reading some English-language blogs written by young Chinese, we came across an interesting phenomenon: nostalgia for the period of the Cultural Revolution. While young American and European hipsters are wearing plaid shirts, listening to vinyl LPs, and growing arugula in their rooftop gardens, their Chinese peers are…
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For years, when asked whether I thought China would experience a hard landing, I would simply answer, “I don't understand China. Making a prediction would be pretending that I did, so I can’t.” The problem is that today China is the most significant macroeconomic wildcard in the global economy. To…
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Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Say the words and most people think of poverty… famine… epidemics… political strife… sectarian violence. Yet, just recently, Microsoft announced a new investment on the continent, calling Africa a “game changer in the global economy.” So what gives? Is SSA a Game Changer? For starters, we concede SSA…
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I am writing this introductory note from London during a layover on my way to Rome, and I’ll append a personal ending tonight after I finally make my way back from dinner to the hotel. One of the few consensus ideas that I took away from the Strategic Investment Conference…
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Just as Russia seems to have signaled a tactical step back from its provocative actions and attitudes in the eastern Ukrainian crisis, major events are unfolding between China and its neighbors in the South China Sea. We’ve noted several times that the South China Sea is a particular flash-point for…
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Stephan Bogner, mining analyst with Rockstone Research and CEO of Elementum International, views the crisis in Crimea as the beginning of a larger global power shift east of the Atlantic. In this interview with The Mining Report, Bogner details what these shifting power dynamics will mean for the commodities market.…
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In speeches and presentations since the end of last year, I have been saying that I think the biggest macro problem in the world today is China. China has run up a huge debt, and the payments are coming due. They seem to be proactive, but will it be enough?…
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Fukushima has been far more costly to Japan than you would think. The 2011 meltdown led Japan to shutter all of its 48 nuclear reactors, which had until then generated nearly 30 percent of the country’s electricity. You could imagine the economic effects on the United States if 30 percent…
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Worries of a Chinese Banking Crisis Are Highly Exaggerated Financial media were buzzing last week with news about troubles in China’s unofficial, or “shadow,” banking sector. Stories that the sky is falling are useful to grab readers’ attention, and there was plenty of reporting suggesting that a Chinese financial catastrophe…
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In 1853 the French romantic composer Charles Gounod wrote a melody that was especially designed to sit over the Prelude No. 1 in C Major written by Johann Sebastian Bach over a century earlier. He titled it (somewhat unimaginatively, perhaps) "Meditation sur le Premier Prelude de Piano de S. Bach."…
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The small-cap market is one fraught with possibility. Businesses worth between $300 million and $2 billion (the standard definition of small-cap) have both a more established track record than, say, a micro-cap, as well as room to grow at a much faster rate than a mid or large-sized company. They…
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If at first you don’t succeed, try again. That seems to be China’s motto when it comes to financial reform. Officials have launched several initiatives to boost lending to private entrepreneurs and small- and mid-sized businesses (SME) in recent years, but none have helped much. So now, they’re trying again.…
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