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Stephan Bogner, mining analyst with Rockstone Research and CEO of Elementum International, views the crisis in Crimea as the beginning of a larger global power shift east of the Atlantic. In this interview with The Mining Report, Bogner details what these shifting power dynamics will mean for the commodities market.…
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In speeches and presentations since the end of last year, I have been saying that I think the biggest macro problem in the world today is China. China has run up a huge debt, and the payments are coming due. They seem to be proactive, but will it be enough?…
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Fukushima has been far more costly to Japan than you would think. The 2011 meltdown led Japan to shutter all of its 48 nuclear reactors, which had until then generated nearly 30 percent of the country’s electricity. You could imagine the economic effects on the United States if 30 percent…
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Worries of a Chinese Banking Crisis Are Highly Exaggerated Financial media were buzzing last week with news about troubles in China’s unofficial, or “shadow,” banking sector. Stories that the sky is falling are useful to grab readers’ attention, and there was plenty of reporting suggesting that a Chinese financial catastrophe…
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In 1853 the French romantic composer Charles Gounod wrote a melody that was especially designed to sit over the Prelude No. 1 in C Major written by Johann Sebastian Bach over a century earlier. He titled it (somewhat unimaginatively, perhaps) "Meditation sur le Premier Prelude de Piano de S. Bach."…
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The small-cap market is one fraught with possibility. Businesses worth between $300 million and $2 billion (the standard definition of small-cap) have both a more established track record than, say, a micro-cap, as well as room to grow at a much faster rate than a mid or large-sized company. They…
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If at first you don’t succeed, try again. That seems to be China’s motto when it comes to financial reform. Officials have launched several initiatives to boost lending to private entrepreneurs and small- and mid-sized businesses (SME) in recent years, but none have helped much. So now, they’re trying again.…
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In June 2012, emerging bond market ETFs started to experience a major sell-off. This sell-off was triggered by weakening growth outlooks at the market, and a more general shifting away from emerging markets bonds, stocks, and other securities, and according to Barron's, is just part of the erratic nature of…
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China stocks are staggering from a punishing one-two combination. First, slipping economic growth delivered a powerful body blow early this year. Investors had generally expected that falling inflation and a surge of economic reforms from new national leaders would strongly reverse the economic weakness of 2012. But Chinese GDP unexpectedly…
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All weekend long and this morning as I wake up in Monaco, the number of disparate publications screaming at me about problems in China is just overwhelming. Then I get myself up early to hear a speech by the esteemed British economist Charles Dumas of Lombard Street fame, and I…
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I shot an Arrow into the air It fell to earth I know not where…. Henry Wadsworth Longfellow As kids, not knowing that we were being politically incorrect on so many levels, we would shout “Geronimo!” when we were playing war or getting ready to do something reckless. (For those…
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In the early 1960s, a new planet was discovered in the outer reaches of the universe, and it turned out to be a strange place, populated by some weird and wonderful characters. Originally the planet was a normal spheroid, but due to a peculiar set of events the planet is…
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