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Before we kick things off this week, I want to give you a quick update on Real Vision Television in response to a ton of emails I have received on the subject. Real Vision will launch on September 8th, and if you have already signed up and registered your interest,…
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People of privilege will always risk their complete destruction rather than surrender any material part of their advantage. Intellectual myopia, often called stupidity, is no doubt a reason. But the privileged also feel that their privileges, however egregious they may seem to others, are a solemn, basic, God-given right. The…
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Every year, top global financial policymakers gather in Jackson Hole, Wyoming for a summit. Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda was there, and delivered a disappointing message to those who were waiting for a ramp-up of the bank’s money printing. Although he allowed for future re-evaluation, he said he…
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Optimism over FedEx (FDX) and UPS‘s (UPS) planned expansion in China must be balanced with the realization that domestic companies are already much further ahead in their own plans for China’s logistics industry, an industry growing in proportion to the country’s boom in B2C e-commerce, worth $298 billion in 2013. A much more common sight than…
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What is the world's best selling beer? If you're an American you'll probably say Budweiser. In fact, if you are European you'll probably also say Budweiser. South American? Budweiser would probably be the common answer, an international recognition of the supremacy of American products–even the mediocre–on a global scale. But…
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In last week’s Thoughts from the Frontline, my young colleague Worth Wray and I continued our groundbreaking series exploring the risks posed by China’s rapid private sector debt growth and its consumption-repressing, investment-heavy growth model that is quickly running out of steam. China is the true conundrum in the global…
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China’s president, Xi Jinping, has made an anti-corruption drive a hallmark of his administration. We noted that trend to our readers from the beginning, believing that Xi’s family history suggested he would be serious in this endeavor (his father, a prominent figure in the revolution, was imprisoned several times under…
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China continues to be front and center on my list of concerns, even more so than the latest Federal Reserve press release or fluctuation in the Dow (although you should pay attention). I believe China is the single biggest risk to world economic equilibrium, even larger than Japan or Europe.…
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Last year, while reading some English-language blogs written by young Chinese, we came across an interesting phenomenon: nostalgia for the period of the Cultural Revolution. While young American and European hipsters are wearing plaid shirts, listening to vinyl LPs, and growing arugula in their rooftop gardens, their Chinese peers are…
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For years, when asked whether I thought China would experience a hard landing, I would simply answer, “I don't understand China. Making a prediction would be pretending that I did, so I can’t.” The problem is that today China is the most significant macroeconomic wildcard in the global economy. To…
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Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Say the words and most people think of poverty… famine… epidemics… political strife… sectarian violence. Yet, just recently, Microsoft announced a new investment on the continent, calling Africa a “game changer in the global economy.” So what gives? Is SSA a Game Changer? For starters, we concede SSA…
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I am writing this introductory note from London during a layover on my way to Rome, and I’ll append a personal ending tonight after I finally make my way back from dinner to the hotel. One of the few consensus ideas that I took away from the Strategic Investment Conference…
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