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The current bull run in Chinese equities underscores the conundrum of China for investors: the Chinese stock market is still basically a creature of psychology. The “fundamentals” of the Chinese stock market are not those fundamentals that investors from the developed markets are used to considering -- return on capital…
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Chinese Uncertainty Was Always a Risk in Macau When Las Vegas-based casinos chased Chinese gambling profits to Macau, they all took risks investing money by building out their casinos, as well as investing in employee training and all the trappings that went along with the promise of these profits from…
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On April 16, the Shanghai Composite stock index rose 4.4% and Hong Kong’s market went up 7.9%. The next day, China’s exports got reported down 15% year-over-year… while the stock index rose another 2.9%, crossing 4,300. The news hasn’t changed, but now it’s over 4,500! Is that whacky or what?…
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World Class Singapore Supermarket This third largest supermarket chain in Singapore, Sheng Siong Group Limited ($SSG:SP), has 35 outlets and steady EPS growth. This mid-cap stock has strong profitability, low volatility, no debt and good price momentum, though this combination does not come cheap. I like the steady, defensive nature…
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Do you believe in God? Whoa, wait a minute, this is an investment newsletter, right? Stay with me. I’m an armchair philosopher, and I’ve always wished I’d had the opportunity to be a philosophy major, because I can navel gaze with the best of them. But since then, I’ve come…
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Are stocks about to hit new heights? That was the question that crossed my mind Monday morning, as overnight news from China sent equities screaming higher after Friday's dramatic sell-off. On Monday, April 20th 2015, stocks were up about one percent after being down a bit more than that on…
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We are bullish on mainland Chinese and Hong Kong stocks. The Shanghai stock market is going up, and there are several theories about why it is rising. Our favorite is that when the U.S. grows more slowly, money migrates to China. In our opinion, something like that is also happening…
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Forecasting the gaming sector for the year ahead depends upon whether 2015 will be a replay of 2014, or if the next three quarters provide some good news for the battered sector. As the first quarter of 2015 trading came to a close, on a trailing 12-month basis, the average…
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European measures of business sentiment from and consumer confidence from the European Commission are up in the last week. European QE is ongoing, and we note that European stocks are reacting positively to European sentiment. In spite of the Greek issue, the stocks on the continent are doing nicely. Fed…
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Profit When Professionals Get it Wrong My research covering 4,000 companies across the world shows that, over the past 22 years, financial analysts have been wrong in their earnings forecasts about 33% of the time. This dismal record implies that considering the companies for which analysts are most bearish could…
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The problem with taxes in most nations is that the people and the governing body must come to an agreement to impose and pay them. Sure, there might be an intermediate step, like a representative government, or even a socialist ruling party that makes noise about it being everyone’s “duty,”…
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If you look at shares of Wynn Resorts, Limited ($WYNN) from July 2012 to March 2014 (click here for chart) you will see shares rising from $90 to $250 during this "Macau Multiple" period for casino stocks. In recent years, the expectation has been that Asian big money gamblers (whales,…
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