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Nicholas Colas, chief market strategist at Convergex, published a piece this week called Tell ‘Em That It’s Human Nature. The piece focuses on volatility within the S&P 500. To quote the summary: The surge in volatility over the past week enabled this year’s aggregate number of plus or minus 1% moves…
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We’re often asked how the Newfound Multi-Asset Income strategy compares to high yield bond programs. What are High Yield Bond Programs? First, let’s start with: what are managed high yield bond programs? Traditionally, these are trend-following strategies that invest either in high yield bonds or short-term U.S. Treasuries. The objective of these…
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With S&P 500 futures down -3.2% at the time of writing, we wanted to put some thoughts together to give some context to the recent sell-off. We'll start with a picture... here are historic drawdowns in the S&P 500 (blue) and the current drawdown (orange): So how bad was last week?…
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Rising rates are somewhere out there on the horizon. Where, nobody quite knows. Did this week’s devaluation of the yuan push out the timeline? If lower export prices from China cause disinflation-on-the-way-to-deflation for the US, then the answer is a solid maybe. How, exactly, a rising rate scenario will play out…
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While the market has indeed been trading in a tight range this summer, stocks could be preparing to break one way or another. For traders, especially beginners, it would be wise to not be caught on the wrong side of that potential move. In our latest interview with Toni Turner…
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After publishing our Two Centuries of Momentum article last week, we received a number of requests for our thoughts on the recent underperformance of multi-asset, relative strength portfolios. Now, we tend to fall more on the trend following side of momentum. So we wanted to spend some time talking about the difference…
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This week we received an email from an advisor that echoes some calls we’ve been receiving lately. We thought it would make a great topic for us to cover in our commentary this week. The email read: We’re seeing a lot of negative indicators in the market right now, and…
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In 2002, addressing Nobel Prize-winning economist Milton Friedman on his 90th birthday, former Fed chair Ben Bernanke acknowledged the role of the Federal Reserve in worsening the financial crisis of the Great Depression rather than helping it. He said, “You’re right, we did it. We’re very sorry. But thanks to…
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“I would highlight that equity market valuations at this point generally are quite high.” —Janet Yellen Are you worried about the stock market? If you are, you’re in the minority of investors. Greece… China… don’t worry about it! At least that seems to be Wall Street’s reaction to what could…
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What Future Risk is Embedded in your Portfolio? Is Global Diversification Adding Benefit or New Unseen Risks? Future risks that are not on the balance sheet – from human capital to customer satisfaction to carbon efficiency to board diversity – are knowable when you properly evaluate data on impact, sustainability,…
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Risk management is core to our DNA at Newfound. It is most visible in the design of our investment strategies where capital preservation is a key goal. Our external conversations about risk most often revolve around avoiding the market's significant losses. Yet in internal conversations the concept of risk management…
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You can gnash your teeth over the Greek debt crisis or the Chinese stock meltdown, but one economic sure-thing you should be watching is the collapsing fundamentals of the transportation industry. Check out this headline: More problematic for the stock market is that the profit outlook for transportation stocks, particularly…
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