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This week we received an email from an advisor that echoes some calls we’ve been receiving lately. We thought it would make a great topic for us to cover in our commentary this week. The email read: We’re seeing a lot of negative indicators in the market right now, and…
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In 2002, addressing Nobel Prize-winning economist Milton Friedman on his 90th birthday, former Fed chair Ben Bernanke acknowledged the role of the Federal Reserve in worsening the financial crisis of the Great Depression rather than helping it. He said, “You’re right, we did it. We’re very sorry. But thanks to…
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“I would highlight that equity market valuations at this point generally are quite high.” —Janet Yellen Are you worried about the stock market? If you are, you’re in the minority of investors. Greece… China… don’t worry about it! At least that seems to be Wall Street’s reaction to what could…
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What Future Risk is Embedded in your Portfolio? Is Global Diversification Adding Benefit or New Unseen Risks? Future risks that are not on the balance sheet – from human capital to customer satisfaction to carbon efficiency to board diversity – are knowable when you properly evaluate data on impact, sustainability,…
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Risk management is core to our DNA at Newfound. It is most visible in the design of our investment strategies where capital preservation is a key goal. Our external conversations about risk most often revolve around avoiding the market's significant losses. Yet in internal conversations the concept of risk management…
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You can gnash your teeth over the Greek debt crisis or the Chinese stock meltdown, but one economic sure-thing you should be watching is the collapsing fundamentals of the transportation industry. Check out this headline: More problematic for the stock market is that the profit outlook for transportation stocks, particularly…
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According to 30-Day Fed Funds futures prices, the implied probability of a 25bp hike occurring in September has eeked over 50%. So in trying to get out in front of this hike, the market seems to have gone ahead and caused the hike on its own. Okay, okay – so…
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Greece exiting the Euro is in the news cycle and with the availability of many ETF products, which offer downside protection, there is ample opportunity to buy some protection. The days of shorting the S&P Futures contact or buying individual stock put options at the CBOE are a thing of…
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In our opinion, for all the wonderful benefits of the information era, a major downside has been the need to provide constant coverage: the need for a constant and immediate explanation for everything. Lately, day-to-day market commentary has been absurd. Here’s one I heard recently: “the market is up today…
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We’ve waxed philosophical about currencies in the past, but we received a request to add some more color. Off the backdrop of the U.S. dollar hitting a 13-year high against the yen this week, it seemed timely.  Coverage of the new high highlighted an important and unique aspect about investing…
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We would venture that there is a strong correlation between the amount of ink spilled about an asset class or sector and its volatility. So given that the energy sector fell nearly 5.5% in the last month without much interest is somewhat curious. Or, is it? First, let’s establish whether…
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Benjamin Graham, father of value investing, once said: “in the short run, the market is like a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.” The psychology factor that can dominate market returns and volatility in the short-run is often washed out in long-run annualized returns,…
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