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Thursday,  July  31, 2014      9:04 a.m.  BEFORE the OPEN       TODAY:     The S&P 500 is now up 195% since this bull market began on March 6, 2009. While it still has room to run, the current bull ranks #2 going back 44 years when institutions first started to have…
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Monday,  July  30, 2014      9:04 a.m.  BEFORE the OPEN       As I write, investment analysts are digesting Q2 earnings reports and preparing projections for earnings for coming quarters.  With the exception of a stop-and-go housing industry, the economy is gaining traction, perhaps more than expected.     Currently, war in the…
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The lull at the start of 2014 for the housing market that was blamed on unseasonably cold and icy weather has not bounced back the way many analysts expected, lending to a mixed bag of housing market data.  While there have been moments of sunshine, the housing recovery is still…
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Monday,  July  28, 2014  9:08 a.m.  BEFORE the OPEN TODAY:     Friday I warned readers not to rule out a three to four day slide before a nice leg up.     We got the first day of that slide on Friday, which was triggered in part by a disappointing quarterly…
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Friday, July 25, 2014 9:08 a.m. BEFORE the OPEN SUMMARY:     The market has ranged sideways for most of July, with a slight upward bias.     Institutions are digesting Q2 earnings and must like what they see, or the market would be going south in a hurry.     Do not rule out…
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Thursday, July 24, 2014      9:08 a.m.  BEFORE the OPEN     I’m not a fan of the earnings report season – fortunately it only comes four times a year. Even so, this time around, earnings are tracking comfortably ahead of projections, which of course are low-balled to avert a “miss.”    …
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Wednesday,  July  23, 2014      9:08 a.m.  BEFORE the OPEN     This is not a news driven market, as was the case when decisions in the past hinged on the jobless reports, the FED, Europe’s woes, war abroad and war at home (politics).     That leaves two  things – interest rates…
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“Measurement theory shows that strong assumptions are required for certain statistics to provide meaningful information about reality. Measurement theory encourages people to think about the meaning of their data. It encourages critical assessment of the assumptions behind the analysis. “In ‘pure’ science, we can form a better, more coherent, and…
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Tuesday,  July  22, 2014      9:12 a.m.  BEFORE the OPEN SUMMARY:     Since June, I have been expecting the market to enter a sideways trading range as it digests the summer doldrums and apparent negatives that always show up to rein in a frosty market (Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s comments about…
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Fed Chair Janet Yellen testified in the Senate on July 15 and apart from reiterating talking points already made during past press conferences and speaking engagements, she did catch the attention from two separate comments. The first was not from her testimony but in a supplementary written report that she…
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Monday,  July  7, 2014      NOTE: This report was written  on Sunday for release on Monday and will therefore not take into consideration news or futures trading immediately prior to Monday’s open. \     This bull market has survived countless crises since it began in early February 2009, racking up a…
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Thursday, July 3, 2014 9:10 a.m. BEFORE the OPEN     Trading will be light today as traders and investors hit the road for a long July 4th weekend, if they haven’t already. A spike in prices would offer traders not leaving early an opportunity to scalp better prices.      Today’s payroll data…
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