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International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde says the global economy is facing “the risk of a new mediocre, where growth is low and uneven.”…  Lagarde said Europe's 18-nation bloc that uses the euro currency – collectively the world's biggest economy – is facing the "not insignificant" risk of falling back…
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A note has been circulating among economists, calling into question the wisdom of another group of economists who wrote an open letter to the Federal Reserve a few years ago suggesting that one of the risks of their quantitative easing program was increased inflation. Since we have not seen CPI…
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“That men do not learn very much from the lessons of history is the most important of all the lessons that history has to teach.” – Aldous Huxley, Collected Essays “Would you tell me, please, which way I ought to go from here?” “That depends a good deal on where…
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Another in what seems to be a small parade of scandals involving secretly recorded tapes of Federal Reserve regulators emerged last week. What a number of writers (including me) have written about regulatory capture over the past decade was brought out into the open, at least for a while. My…
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Could it really be true that 80% of Success is Showing Up? This is the third in this series on challenging this myth. In the first two pieces, we found compelling evidence to support the myth but equally powerful facts to suggest that merely showing up might actually cause problems.…
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We are the hollow men We are the stuffed men Leaning together Headpiece filled with straw. Alas! Our dried voices, when We whisper together Are quiet and meaningless As wind in dry grass Or rats’ feet over broken glass In our dry cellar… This is the way the world ends…
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In 1633 Galileo Galilei, then an old man, was tried and convicted by the Catholic Church of the heresy of believing that the earth revolved around the sun. He recanted and was forced into house arrest for the rest of his life, until 1642. Yet “The moment he [Galileo] was…
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Abby Joseph Cohen on Global Themes and Risks Abby Joseph Cohen ’73, president of the Global Markets Institute and senior investment strategist at Goldman Sachs, gave a powerful analysis and forecast of the U.S. and global economy and financial markets when she spoke to Johnson students via videoconference as a…
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Robert Jarrow Publishes an Accessible Introduction to the Complex Securities at the Heart of the Financial Crisis An Introduction to Derivative Securities, Financial Markets, and Risk Management by Robert A. Jarrow and Arkadev Chatterjea The cover is the first clue: this is not your usual derivatives textbook. Two eager commodities…
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If the wide, wide world of investing doesn’t seem a little strange to you these days, it can only be because you’re not paying attention. If you’re paying attention, strange really isn’t the word you’re probably using in your day-to-day investing conversations; it may be more like weird or bizarre.…
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Trillions of dollars of debt, a bond bubble on the verge of bursting and economic distortions that make it difficult for investors to know what is going on behind the curtain have created what author Doug Casey calls a crisis economy. But he is not one to be beaten down.…
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Attributed to Woody Allen, this myth clearly bears investigating. As we saw in Part I, the “showing up” factor is a powerful tool, flying in the face of mathematical modeling and elaborate market plans, and plenty of evidence backs it up. Part I extolled the virtues of many hugely successful…
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