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My inbox is choked with articles assuring me “Why Uber’s $40 billion value is justified.” Six months ago the same articles justified an $18B value, and it’s been barely a year since we were at $3B. So let’s invert the question: What valuation for Uber would be unjustified? Rags Srinivasan…
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Yingli Green Energy (YGE)  reported third quarter earnings in the last week of November, and I can only describe them as “mixed”. Revenues were $551 million, below consensus estimates of $655 million. Module shipments of 903.4 megawatts squeaked in above the low end of the company's 900-1000MW guidance. Margins, though,…
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The holiday season is fast approaching and that means I’m about to be subjected to ritual misery. Namely, going home to see my family for the holidays. Okay, that’s a bit misleading. My family is far from misery, that part’s always a blast. Roast beef dinner, It’s a Wonderful Life,…
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In today’s Outside the Box the redoubtable James Montier of GMO lifts his lance to prick the underbelly of the Mighty SVM. (That’s Shareholder Value Maximization, for you newbies.) “The world’s dumbest idea” (among many candidates in the world of finance), says James, citing none other than “Neutron Jack” Welch…
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When I was in junior high, my friend Scott had this Billy Crystal tape that we passed back and forth to each other. I still like Billy Crystal, but let’s just say he was truly hilarious when I was 13 back in 1987. He had this routine about old codgers…
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This Jack Nicholson line from The Departed shows he was onto something. Reality TV may resemble the way things work more than we would like to think. The Myth Buster realizes that the topic does not sound erudite. But, consider the facts. Last month, we looked at several bizarre situations: Mark…
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With Thanksgiving tomorrow, a lot of us are prepping for a massive meal, a long nap, and then trying our hardest to do nothing for the rest of a long weekend. Other supremely unlucky folks have to work on Friday. A few completely insane people will rise at the crack…
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For a central banker, deflation is one of the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse: Death, Famine, Disease, and Deflation. (We will address later in this letter why War, in the form of a currency war, is not in a central banker’s Apocalypse mix.) It is helpful to understand that, before…
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Today’s Outside the Box comes from Sam Rines of Chilton Capital Management in Houston, TX – a promising young economics contributor to The National Interest and a rising star who I met at Worth Wray’s wedding a few weeks ago. Worth and Sam have developed quite the friendship over the…
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“The significant problems that we have created cannot be solved at the level of thinking we were at when we created them.” – Albert Einstein “Generals are notorious for their tendency to ‘fight the last war’ – by using the strategies and tactics of the past to achieve victory in…
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Jack Nicholson’s line from The Departed has caught on with many executives and offers a myth that needs examining. Reality TV mimics what happens in some sizeable companies. Is it any wonder that most people know Mark Cuban for his stint on Shark Tank rather than for his business prowess?…
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International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde says the global economy is facing “the risk of a new mediocre, where growth is low and uneven.”…  Lagarde said Europe's 18-nation bloc that uses the euro currency – collectively the world's biggest economy – is facing the "not insignificant" risk of falling back…
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