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If the wide, wide world of investing doesn’t seem a little strange to you these days, it can only be because you’re not paying attention. If you’re paying attention, strange really isn’t the word you’re probably using in your day-to-day investing conversations; it may be more like weird or bizarre.…
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© Peter Crowther Associates Limited The digital economy: It’s not just about tech anymore. A lot of it is already second nature, even for those who aren’t digital natives: We go online to book our trips; read the news; select a restaurant; browse, search out the best bargains, and purchase…
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Trillions of dollars of debt, a bond bubble on the verge of bursting and economic distortions that make it difficult for investors to know what is going on behind the curtain have created what author Doug Casey calls a crisis economy. But he is not one to be beaten down.…
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Attributed to Woody Allen, this myth clearly bears investigating. As we saw in Part I, the “showing up” factor is a powerful tool, flying in the face of mathematical modeling and elaborate market plans, and plenty of evidence backs it up. Part I extolled the virtues of many hugely successful…
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Studying and understanding demographic trends is critical when predicting generational spending patterns and long-term economic trends in our economy and markets.    The Pew Research Center estimates that in 2012, 57 million Americans lived in multi-generational households, which is defined as two or more adult generations under the same roof.…
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Risk premiums. I don’t know anyone who seriously maintains that risk premiums are anywhere close to normal. They more closely resemble what we see just before a major bear market kicks in. Which doesn’t mean that they can’t become further compressed. My good friend John Hussman certainly wouldn’t argue for…
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Forbes Editor-in-Chief and longtime friend Steve Forbes leads off this week’s Outside the Box with a sweeping historical summary – and damning indictment – of the “cheap money” policies of the US executive branch and Federal Reserve. Four decades of fiat money (since Richard Nixon and his Treasury Secretary, John…
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Attributed to Woody Allen, this myth clearly bears investigating. The “showing up” factor is widely accepted among executives as an indicator of business and career success. While the maxim flies in the face of mathematical modeling and elaborate market plans, plenty of evidence backs it up. On the corporate level,…
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Growing geopolitical risk is on everyone’s mind right now, but in today’s Outside the Box, Michael Cembalest of J.P. Morgan Asset Management leads off with a helpful reminder: the only time since WWII that a violent conflict has had a medium-term negative effect on markets was in 1973, when the…
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[E]conomists are at this moment called upon to say how to extricate the free world from the serious threat of accelerating inflation which, it must be admitted, has been brought about by policies which the majority of economists recommended and even urged governments to pursue. We have indeed at the…
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Smackdown: smack·down, ˈsmakˌdoun/, noun, US informal 1.  a bitter contest or confrontation. "the age-old man versus Nature smackdown" 2.  a decisive or humiliating defeat or setback. The term “smackdown” was first used by professional wrestler Dwayne Johnson (AKA The Rock) in 1997. Ten years later its use had become so…
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A rather interesting shockwave came across the newsfeeds this week. I was actually doing a TV interview when the host announced that GDP was down 2.9% for the first quarter. There was not much else I could do but note that that was a really bad, ugly, terrible, not very…
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