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“Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the face.” – Mike Tyson For the last 25 days I’ve been traveling in Argentina and South Africa, two countries whose economies can only be described as fragile, though for very different reasons. Emerging-market countries face a significantly different set of…
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During World War II, the British Royal Air Force (RAF) undertook a plan of misdirection to allow a squadron of bombers to approach an exceptionally valuable target in Europe undetected. The target was so heavily guarded that destroying it would require more than the usual degree of surprise. Although the…
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“In the economic sphere an act, a habit, an institution, a law produces not only one effect, but a series of effects. Of these effects, the first alone is immediate; it appears simultaneously with its cause; it is seen. The other effects emerge only subsequently; they are not seen; we…
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I’m sitting in the British Airways lounge at Heathrow terminal 5, or in other words in my usual office, and trying to catch up on my reading. I was particularly intrigued by my good friend and economic philosopher Ben Hunt’s latest Epsilon Theory post, which he calls “Hollow Men, Hollow…
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In the first two segments on this myth, we looked at saints and devils. We also looked at new monitors for determining, which companies are on the up and up. One of the devils we probed was Career Education Corp. (CECO) . Their share price has moved up after they…
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“An imbalance between rich and poor is the oldest and most fatal ailment of all republics.” –Plutarch, Greek historian, first century AD “In the economic sphere an act, a habit, an institution, a law produces not only one effect, but a series of effects. Of these effects, the first alone…
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Looking back, I see that I have mentioned the name Hyman Minsky in no fewer than ten Thoughts from the Frontline letters in just the past two years; and his name has popped up in all four letters so far this month, most notably on March 1, when we brought…
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Corporate logos are anything but arbitrary. Designing a good logo is actually one of the hardest tasks in graphic design. A good logo needs to, in the simplest fashion possible, convey a mood, a message, and a distinct, universally appealing look. It's not an easy thing to do, and it's…
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TODAY:    The market ran further than I expected in late February and early March. I wrote of  a spring rally two weeks ago, but was expecting it to kick off from lower levels. The market pressed higher until five days ago when it traded down erratically with alternating good…
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Last month’s article checked on two companies that have lived under a cloud. Dow Chemical ($DOW) recreated its image in part through its dazzling Human Element commercials. Career Education ($CECO) remains in a heavy fog. Its shares have been falling since 12 attorney generals opened began new probes earlier this…
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World Money Analyst Update on Russia In last week's special Thursday edition of Outside the Box, World Money Analyst Managing Editor Kevin Brekke interviewed WMA contributor Ankur Shah on emerging markets, but they didn't touch on one very important emerging market: Russia. So this week I have brought Kevin back…
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I fully intended to write today about a recently released academic paper that illustrates nearly every bad idea currently being bandied about in the field of economics. The insidious part is that the paper is considered mainstream and noncontroversial. Simply reading it required me to up my blood pressure medicine…
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