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The news media normally latches onto names matched with an event. If this current market declines, I wonder…what will we call it, and what will we remember? Let's look at some historical names for important market cycle movements and how the media identified them. Some names that come to mind…
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One of the things I enjoy most about being in the financial industry is the exceptionally smart people I meet. I have often talked about the changes in our economy, the emergence of new industries, and the kinds of new jobs that are created as a result. We are hearing…
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Markets are obsessed with determining when the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates for the first time since 2006, from an all-time low since 2009, just as they got caught up with ‘when’ it was going to start tapering its third round of QE (QE3) in 2013. Once again, we know that it will happen as US…
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A few weeks ago, my lovely wife and younger daughter, who is still in high school, traveled to Texas for a birthday party. It wasn’t just any party, though, it was the centennial celebration for my wife’s great aunt.  More amazing than this lady’s longevity is that she’s not alone.…
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Two notable events happened this week for the first time: negative yield on 10-year government bonds and 100-year bonds by Mexico denominated in euros.  Please consider Swiss, Mexican Bond Deals Represent Milestones for Debt.   Until Wednesday, no country had ever sold 10-year debt that gives investors a yield of below 0%.…
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Over the years, I have developed a hierarchy of four macroeconomic cycles. I developed my first cycle in 1988, when my research culminated in the Generational Spending Wave, a very projectable demographic cycle spanning roughly 39 to 40 years that looks at how people spend as they age. Since then,…
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One of the craziest things in our culture is the existence of Star Trek conventions. The show only ran for about three years in the mid-1960s, and yet fans — most of whom were not even born when the show was broadcast — flock to these conventions by the thousands.…
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Recently, there has been a lot of talk of markets being overvalued. So, naturally the asset management team at Alpha Architect wanted to look into this and see if there is any solid evidence to support the claim. Below, finance professor and team leader at Alpha Architect Wesley Gray examines…
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As expected, the Fed has dropped their ‘Patient’ stance. According to Bloomberg, this "Opens Door to June Rate Increase".   The Federal Reserve dropped an assurance it will be “patient” in raising interest rates, ending an era in its communications policy and opening the door for higher borrowing costs as early as…
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If you’re looking to invest for the first time, there is plenty you need to know, and for many of us, there are some questions that are so basic, you might not feel comfortable asking them at all. For instance…what is the stock exchange, anyway? Before even answering that question,…
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For all intents and purposes, things continue to heat up in online lending land. With the granddaddy in the business – Lending Club – now publicly traded, we see more and more people coming out of the wood work, with comments all over. From very negative to very positive, but…
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I am a lot like the left shark in Katy Perry’s Super Bowl show. Like the now infamous dancing fish, I cannot keep time with the rest of the band – but what I do will be interesting to observe relative to everything around me – this I promise you.…
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